AI & Tech Prediction Markets

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

0.75%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $433K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.25% +3 pts

60/100

The market predicts a low likelihood of Kraken's IPO by March 31, 2026.

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

28.5%

Market YES

72%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $338K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29% +3 pts

65/100

Market suggests low confidence in OpenAI having a top AI model by June 30.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

0.4%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $436K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.2% +3 pts

50/100

Market sees low probability for SpaceX's cap to hit $800B-$900B on IPO day.

Anduril IPO before 2027?

18.5%

Market YES

82%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $317K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30% +3 pts

60/100

Market leans towards Anduril not going public before 2027.

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

24%

Market YES

76%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $313K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 38.5% +3 pts

60/100

Market favors 'NO' for Google having the best AI model by June 2026.

Databricks IPO before 2027?

39%

Market YES

61%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $445K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30.5% +3 pts

60/100

The market suggests a low probability of a Databricks IPO before 2027.

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

3.55%

Market YES

96%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $508K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.3% +3 pts

55/100

Market strongly favors SpaceX going public by 2027.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

31%

Market YES

69%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $257K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34% +3 pts

60/100

Market indicates low likelihood of Tim Cook leaving Apple CEO position before 2027.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

0.9%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $360K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.85% +3 pts

50/100

Market sees low probability for SpaceX's cap to hit $900B-$1T on IPO day.

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

33.5%

Market YES

67%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $257K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51.5% +3 pts

50/100

Market shows nearly equal chances for Morgan Stanley as lead underwriter for SpaceX IPO.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

4.25%

Market YES

96%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $237K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.25% +3 pts

60/100

Market expects OpenAI's cap to exceed $500B on IPO day.

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

25%

Market YES

75%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $231K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28% +3 pts

60/100

Market suggests low likelihood of OpenAI's $1t+ IPO before 2027.

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

0.15%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $326K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.55% +3 pts

50/100

Market expects SpaceX's cap to exceed $500B on IPO day.

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

1.25%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $220K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.25% +3 pts

60/100

Market predicts Anthropic's IPO market cap will be below $600B.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?

0.15%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $262K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.55% +3 pts

50/100

Market suggests low probability for SpaceX's cap to hit $500B-$600B on IPO day.

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

23.5%

Market YES

77%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $223K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 26% +3 pts

60/100

The market suggests a low likelihood of a Freddie Mac IPO before 2027.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?

0.45%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $242K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.2% +3 pts

50/100

Market predicts SpaceX's IPO cap will not reach $600B-$700B.

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

2.45%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $204K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.45% +3 pts

65/100

Market indicates low likelihood of OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2026.

Stripe IPO before 2027?

13.5%

Market YES

87%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $224K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.5% +3 pts

60/100

Market indicates low probability for a Stripe IPO before 2027.

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

1.35%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $253K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.6% +3 pts

50/100

Market indicates low likelihood of SpaceX's public ticker being $SPAX.

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

0.25%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $157K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.25% +3 pts

60/100

Market expects Anthropic's cap to exceed $100B on IPO day.

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

36.5%

Market YES

64%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $189K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43% +3 pts

60/100

Market leans towards no IPO for OpenAI before 2027, with a 60% probability.

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

57.5%

Market YES

43%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $164K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 45.5% +3 pts

50/100

Market shows a close probability for Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter for SpaceX IPO.

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

40%

Market YES

60%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $159K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 41.5% +3 pts

60/100

Market leans towards Anthropic not going public before 2027.

🤖 AI & Tech Markets