AI & Tech Prediction Markets

Will NVDA (Nvidia) close April 2026 above $170?

53.44%

Market YES

47%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49.94% -3.5 pts

50/100

Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Elon win his case against OpenAI?

60%

Market YES

40%

Market NO

Manifold

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 56.5% -3.5 pts

50/100

Market leans towards Elon winning his case against OpenAI with a 60% probability.

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

1%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $430K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.4% +3 pts

50/100

Market indicates low probability for SpaceX's public ticker to be $SPACE.

Will Google reach $420 in March?

0.45%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $164K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.45% +3 pts

60/100

Market indicates low probability of Google reaching $420 in March.

Will TikTok - Videos, Shop & LIVE be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

0.65%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $15K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts

60/100

The market strongly favors TikTok not being the #2 free app on March 10.

Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.55%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $16K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.55% +3 pts

60/100

Market strongly favors Z.ai not having the #3 AI model by March 2026.

Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

0.75%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $11K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.75% +3 pts

60/100

The market strongly favors Google not being the #2 Free App on March 10.

Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?

0.6%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $26K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.2% +3 pts

60/100

The market strongly favors NO for xAI having the best math model on March 31.

Will Tesla dip to $263 in March?

2.2%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $59K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.7% +3 pts

60/100

Market shows low probability of Tesla dipping to $263 in March.

Will Amazon dip to $132 in March?

0.35%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $13K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.7% +3 pts

60/100

Market indicates a low probability of Amazon dipping to $132 in March.

Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

1.3%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $10K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.3% +3 pts

60/100

AnkiMobile Flashcards is unlikely to be the #1 paid app in the US by March 10.

Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.1%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $34K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts

60/100

Market strongly favors NO for Z.ai's AI model ranking by March 2026.

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $228K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.05% +3 pts

65/100

NVIDIA is unlikely to be the second-largest company by market cap on March 31.

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

0.55%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $12K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.55% +3 pts

60/100

Market strongly favors Databricks below $200B on IPO day.

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?

38.5%

Market YES

62%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $9K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 41.5% +3 pts

65/100

Market favors Google closing below $300 on March 9.

Will Mistral have the best AI model for math on March 31?

0.15%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $19K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

60/100

Mistral is unlikely to have the best AI model for math by March 31.

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

41%

Market YES

59%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $11K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44% +3 pts

60/100

Market suggests a low likelihood of a ChatGPT outage by March 15.

Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $492K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.5% +3 pts

65/100

The market strongly favors SpaceX not IPOing by March 2026.

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $836K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.25% +3 pts

65/100

The market strongly favors Tesla not being the second-largest company by March 31.

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

2.1%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.2M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6% +3 pts

50/100

The market strongly favors that SpaceX's public ticker will not be $SEX.

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

15%

Market YES

85%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $538K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 31.5% +3 pts

65/100

The market leans towards xAI not having a #1 AI model by June 30.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

37.5%

Market YES

63%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $381K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 40.5% +3 pts

65/100

Market leans towards OpenAI not going public by 2026.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

64.15%

Market YES

36%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $565K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42.9% +3 pts

60/100

Market leans towards Anthropic not having the best AI model by June 2026.

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

0.9%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $720K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 17.65% +3 pts

50/100

Market favors 'NO' on SpaceX's ticker being $STAR with low probability for 'YES'.

🤖 AI & Tech Markets