AI & Tech Prediction Markets

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

7.7%

Market YES

92%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $128K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.7% +3 pts

60/100

Market suggests low probability for OpenAI's market cap to hit $500B-$750B on IPO day.

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

11.5%

Market YES

89%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $127K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.5% +3 pts

60/100

Market predicts low likelihood of 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches reaching space in 2026.

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

1%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $234K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.9% +3 pts

50/100

Market indicates low likelihood for SpaceX's ticker to be $SX.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

7.5%

Market YES

93%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $119K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.5% +3 pts

60/100

Low probability of a Tesla and SpaceX merger announcement by June 30.

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?

0.55%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $172K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.6% +3 pts

50/100

The market strongly favors that SpaceX's public ticker will not be $MARS.

Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

2.6%

Market YES

97%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $184K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.05% +3 pts

60/100

Market strongly favors Z.ai not having the top AI model by June 2026.

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $260K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.35% +3 pts

65/100

Market strongly favors Microsoft not being the second-largest company by market cap on March 31.

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?

0.15%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $473K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.3% +3 pts

50/100

Market strongly favors that SpaceX will not have a public ticker $SPC.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

1.15%

Market YES

99%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $110K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.15% +3 pts

60/100

Market indicates low likelihood of Tim Cook leaving Apple by March 31.

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?

23%

Market YES

77%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $130K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.5% +3 pts

60/100

The market sees a low probability of Ripple Labs going public before 2027.

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

76%

Market YES

24%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $170K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28.5% +3 pts

65/100

Market favors Discord will IPO by June 30, 2026.

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

17%

Market YES

83%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $104K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20% +3 pts

60/100

Market favors NO on Tesla delivering 350,000-375,000 vehicles in Q1 2026.

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

6.05%

Market YES

94%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $97K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.05% +3 pts

60/100

The market indicates a low probability of OpenAI receiving federal support by July.

Vanta IPO before 2027?

21.5%

Market YES

79%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $109K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19% +3 pts

60/100

The market indicates a low probability for Vanta's IPO before 2027.

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

5.5%

Market YES

95%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $129K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18.5% +3 pts

65/100

Low probability for Apple to be the third-largest company by market cap by March 31.

Deel IPO before 2027?

37%

Market YES

63%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $117K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20% +3 pts

60/100

Market indicates low likelihood of Deel IPO before 2027.

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

49.5%

Market YES

51%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $90K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 52.5% +3 pts

60/100

Market sentiment is split on SpaceX achieving full reusability by 2027.

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

11.5%

Market YES

89%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $130K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19.5% +3 pts

60/100

The market indicates a low probability of a Fannie Mae IPO before 2027.

Will Meta acquire TikTok?

4.25%

Market YES

96%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $83K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.25% +3 pts

60/100

The market strongly favors that Meta will not acquire TikTok.

Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.2M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

60/100

Market strongly favors Z.ai not having the best coding AI model by March 31.

Rippling IPO before 2027?

17.5%

Market YES

83%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $93K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22% +3 pts

60/100

The market indicates a low probability for Rippling's IPO before 2027.

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

2.5%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $88K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.6% +3 pts

60/100

Market favors Discord's cap to be below $15B on IPO day.

Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $148K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.85% +3 pts

60/100

Market strongly favors NO for xAI having the best coding model by March 31.

Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

2.35%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $173K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.45% +3 pts

60/100

Market indicates low confidence in Moonshot having the top AI model by June 2026.

🤖 AI & Tech Markets