Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Train Dreams is highly unlikely to win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards.
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 260-279 times in early March 2026.
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts
95/100
High probability of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz by June 30.
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
95/100
Market strongly predicts Elon Musk will tweet 340-359 times in early March 2026.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9.85%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.85% +2 pts
95/100
Low probability for a China-Taiwan invasion by 2026, with market favoring peace.
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.05% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors no invasion of Taiwan by China by March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts
95/100
High probability of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz before 2027.
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Market expects Elon Musk will not post 240-259 tweets during the specified period.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.05% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors that Reza Pahlavi will not enter Iran by March 31.
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market overwhelmingly predicts Musk will post 40 or more tweets during the specified dates.
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $74.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.45% -4.5 pts
95/100
High likelihood of a major Israeli ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31.
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
95/100
Market strongly favors the reopening of Ben Gurion Airport by March 15.
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 220-239 tweets in the specified period.
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
95/100
The market strongly favors that Ben Gurion Airport will not reopen by March 7.
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1.95%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $39.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.95% Fair
95/100
Market indicates low probability of US forces entering Iran by March 31.
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $59M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Market indicates no expectation of US forces entering Iran by March 14.
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 360-379 tweets in the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $58.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts
95/100
High probability of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz by March 31.
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