Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 74% -7.5 pts
60/100
High probability suggests strong sentiment for Iran's military action against Israel by March 2026.
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 77% -7.5 pts
60/100
High probability of Iran conducting military action against Israel on March 20, 2026.
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 68% -7.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates a high likelihood of Iran taking military action against Israel on March 19, 2026.
Spread: Morgan State Bears (-2.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $26K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 46% -7.5 pts
65/100
Market shows a close contest with a slight edge for the NO side.
Games Total: O/U 3.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 92.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors over 3.5 games in this geopolitical context.
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
28%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $356K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 48% -7.5 pts
60/100
Market shows a slight lean towards a US/Israel strike in Yemen by March 31.
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
96.95%
Market YES
3%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 89.45% -7.5 pts
65/100
High probability of Iran striking Bahrain by April 2026, but NO side is undervalued.
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?
92.5%
Market YES
8%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 85% -7.5 pts
60/100
High probability of Iran striking UAE by April 30, 2026, according to market data.
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
91%
Market YES
9%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 83.5% -7.5 pts
65/100
High probability of Iran striking Kuwait by April 2026, but NO side may be undervalued.
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
92.5%
Market YES
8%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $140K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 84.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
Market shows strong belief in over $7M for P2P Protocol public sale.
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
60%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 52.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
Market shows a 60% chance of Iran striking Qatar by April 2026.
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
67%
Market YES
33%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 59.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates a 67% chance of Iran striking Iraq by April 30, 2026.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 92.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors over 2.5 games, with a notable edge for the NO side.
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 92.45% -7.5 pts
60/100
Market heavily favors TL, but NO side may be undervalued.
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
75.5%
Market YES
25%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $43K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 77% -7.5 pts
60/100
High probability for an Israeli strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026.
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
81%
Market YES
19%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $35K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 85% -7.5 pts
60/100
High probability for an Israeli strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026.
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
87.5%
Market YES
13%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $20K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 84.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
Israel has a high probability of advancing in the first Eurovision Semi-Final.
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?
98%
Market YES
2%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $62K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 71.5% -7.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a high probability of Iran striking Bahrain again in March.
Will Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $21K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 79% -7.5 pts
60/100
High probability that Powell will mention 'Gold' or 'Oil' in the upcoming press conference.
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
80.65%
Market YES
19%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $85K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 70.9% -7.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates a high probability of Iran striking the UAE again in March.
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $26K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 72.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
High probability for Powell to say 'Sorry' or 'Pardon' in March press conference.
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?
74.5%
Market YES
26%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 66.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts a high likelihood of Khamenei tweeting on March 22, 2026.
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
52%
Market YES
48%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $43K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests a slight chance of targeting the Fordow facility, but AI analysis leans towards no a
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $32K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 71.5% -7.5 pts
60/100
High probability of Khamenei tweeting on March 17, 2026, but NO side may be undervalued.
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