Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 70.5% -6 pts

Market indicates a high probability of US forces entering Iran by year-end.

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

The market strongly predicts Hezbollah will act militarily against Israel on March 23, 2026.

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 58.5% -6 pts

Market favors VIT to win by 1.5 points over Natus Vincere.

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42.5% -6 pts

The market shows a slight preference for no US-Iran nuclear deal by 2027.

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

Market predicts Hezbollah will act against Israel on March 25, 2026.

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

Market overwhelmingly predicts Hezbollah will act militarily against Israel on March 21, 2026.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 82.5% -6 pts

High probability for Russia to capture Kostyantynivka by 2026.

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

Market strongly predicts Hezbollah will act militarily against Israel on March 24, 2026.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43% -6 pts

The market leans slightly towards fewer than 2.5 games, with a notable undervaluation of the NO side

Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

The market strongly predicts an Iranian strike on Israel on March 8.

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 88.75% -6 pts

Sinners is highly favored to win Best Original Screenplay at the Oscars.

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49% -6 pts

Market shows a slight lean towards Russia entering Dopropillia by June 30.

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 61.5% -6 pts

Market indicates a strong belief in the Iranian regime's survival post-U.S. military strikes.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51.5% -6 pts

The market shows a slight favor towards the conflict ending by May 15.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 63.5% -6 pts

Market suggests a high probability of the Iran x Israel/US conflict ending by June 30.

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.05% -6 pts

High probability of a US or Israel strike on Iran by March 9, 2026.

Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 54.5% -6 pts

Market indicates a higher chance of Russia capturing Hryshyne by March 2026.

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 67% -6 pts

Market indicates a strong belief Russia will capture Lyman by 2026.

US strikes Iraq by March 31

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

The market predicts a 100% chance of US strikes in Iraq by March 31.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42.5% -6 pts

Market leans slightly towards under 2.5 games with a 51.5% probability.

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

The market strongly favors Iran naming a successor to Khamenei by March 9.

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

High probability that Iran will name a successor to Khamenei by March 11.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

High probability for over 2.5 games in this geopolitical market.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

The market strongly favors over 2.5 games with a high probability.

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