Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

The market predicts a 100% chance of Israel striking Gaza on March 8, 2026.

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 76.5% -6 pts

High likelihood Iran will name a successor to Khamenei by March 15.

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

High probability of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz before 2027.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.9% -6 pts

Market strongly favors over 2.5 games in the geopolitical category.

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 85.5% -6 pts

High probability indicates strong belief in Anderson winning Best Director.

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 90.45% -6 pts

Jessie Buckley is highly favored to win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards.

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

High probability of US strikes in Iraq by March 7, but NO side may be undervalued.

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 48.5% -6 pts

Market shows a slight edge for a ceasefire before GTA VI release.

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 63.5% -6 pts

Sean Penn has a 69.5% chance to win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

The market strongly favors over 2.5 games, but the NO side seems undervalued.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44.5% -6 pts

The market leans slightly towards fewer than 2.5 games, with a notable undervaluation of the NO side

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

The market strongly predicts an Iranian strike on Israel on March 4.

Games Total: O/U 3.5

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

The market strongly favors over 3.5 games in this geopolitical context.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43% -6 pts

The market leans slightly towards NO for total games being over 2.5.

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 76.5% -6 pts

High probability for Kevin Warsh's confirmation as Fed Chair by May 15.

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

High probability of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz by March 31.

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts

High probability of an Israeli strike on Gaza on March 7, 2026.

Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

The market strongly favors a strike by Iran on Israel by April 2026.

Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94% -6 pts

Market predicts a high likelihood of Iran striking Saudi Arabia by April 2026.

Game Handicap: VP.P (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.5% +5.5 pts

The market strongly favors Rune Eaters to cover the handicap against VP.P.

Map Handicap: K27 (-2.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+2.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.5% +5.5 pts

Market strongly favors MOUZ NXT to win against K27 by 2.5 points.

Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.5% +5.5 pts

The market strongly favors Johnny Speeds to win against ex-RUBY.

Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.5% +5.5 pts

Market favors ex-RUBY to outperform JS by 1.5 points.

Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs UNO MILLE (+1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.5% +5.5 pts

Market favors UNO MILLE to win against Keyd with high confidence.

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