Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.67% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of China overtaking the US economy by 2030.

Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 31% +5 pts

Market leans towards Saudi Arabia not acquiring nuclear weapons by 2032.

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.85% +5 pts

The market strongly favors that Iran will not enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026.

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 26.2% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability for an AI-generated song winning a major award by 2026.

Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27% +5 pts

Market suggests Powell is unlikely to say 'Inflation' 60+ times in March.

Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20.5% +5 pts

Market predicts Powell will not say 'Not our job' at the March press conference.

Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 35.5% +5 pts

Market leans towards Powell not using 'Successor' in his upcoming press conference.

Will the US win the war against the Houthis in a year? (Read description)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.72% +5 pts

Market indicates low confidence in a US victory over the Houthis in a year.

Will there be a ceasefire announced between US/Israel and Iran between 11th and 15th March 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 12.38% +5 pts

Low probability of a ceasefire between US/Israel and Iran from March 11-15, 2026.

Crypto currency retail trading will be banned in the USA before the end of 2027 due to use in war/terrorism/etc

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16.85% +5 pts

Low probability of a U.S. ban on crypto retail trading by 2027 due to geopolitical concerns.

Will Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.7% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability for Saudi Arabia and Israel to establish diplomatic relations

Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 15% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Israel using recordings to lure Palestinians out.

Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29.5% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Iran striking the Habshan Complex by March 31.

Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 38% +5 pts

The market indicates a lower likelihood of Iran striking Ras Laffan again by March 31.

Will Vladimir Putin die before the end of the war on Ukraine?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 26.45% +5 pts

Market indicates a low probability of Putin's death before the war ends.

Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.46% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of the Russia-Ukraine conflict concluding by 2026.

Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 37% +5 pts

Italy is unlikely to lift its nuclear power ban by 2028.

Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44% +5 pts

Market favors no AGI before Putin's leadership ends.

Russia joins the Board of Peace by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16.47% +5 pts

Low probability for Russia joining the Board of Peace by March 31.

Will Russia control 100% of donbass before 2027 ?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.5% +5 pts

Market favors a NO outcome for Russia controlling Donbass by 2027.

Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42.42% +5 pts

Market suggests a low probability of an attack on the Assembly of Experts in 2026.

Was Epstein a Russian asset?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19.9% +5 pts

The market shows a strong belief that Epstein was not a Russian asset.

China escalates to U.S.-specific ban on tungsten products by Mar 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 25.86% +5 pts

Market indicates low probability of a U.S.-specific tungsten ban by China by March 2026.

Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2026 (according to gallop)?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.09% +5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of US public opinion shifting towards Israel in 2026.

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