Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

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Will A.J. Ewart win the 2026 Valspar Championship?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.45% +5 pts

A.J. Ewart is unlikely to win the 2026 Valspar Championship based on current odds.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 33% +5 pts

Market favors fewer than 2.5 games, with a strong NO probability.

Will there be an end to hostilities between Russia and Ukraine before April 1, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.18% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of hostilities ending by April 2026.

Will an Israeli participate in IOI 2026

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.48% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of an Israeli participating in IOI 2026.

Will Israel participate in IOI 2026 (on site)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.85% +5 pts

Low probability of Israel participating in IOI 2026 on site.

Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.23% +5 pts

Low probability of US nuclear weapons use by 2027, with market favoring a 'no' outcome.

Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.93% +5 pts

Low probability for Ukraine to reclaim Melitopol by 2026.

Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.82% +5 pts

Low probability for Ukraine to regain full control over Crimea by 2026.

Will $10,000 worth of AI hardware be able to train a GPT-3 equivalent model in under 1 hour, by EOY 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.48% +5 pts

Market leans towards NO for training a GPT-3 equivalent model under $10,000 in 1 hour by 2027.

Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.95% +5 pts

Market shows low confidence in over $180M for the P2P Protocol public sale.

Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.4% +5 pts

Low probability for Iran using a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030.

100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18.22% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of 100 military deaths in Israel-Turkey conflict by 2030.

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28.85% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon by 2030.

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.74% +5 pts

Low probability of Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon by 2026.

Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 36.51% +5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of civil war in the US over the next 20 years.

Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.25% +5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of over $100M in P2P Protocol sale commitments.

Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.1% +5 pts

Market indicates low confidence in over $80M for P2P Protocol sale.

By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.3% +5 pts

Low market probability suggests Crimea will not return to Ukraine by war's end.

Will America send troops to Iran within this week?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 15% +5 pts

Low probability of U.S. troop deployment to Iran within the week.

Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44% +5 pts

Market leans towards no for over $60M in P2P Protocol public sale.

Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.5% +5 pts

Market indicates low confidence in over $140M for the P2P Protocol sale.

A month after the Israel-Hamas war stops will Israel still be firing rockets into Syria or Lebanon

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34% +5 pts

Market favors no continued rocket fire from Israel a month post-war.

Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44.5% +5 pts

Market leans towards NO for over $40M in P2P Protocol public sale.

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 24.18% +5 pts

Market indicates low probability for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June.

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