Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran pre-emptively nuke Israel?
12.45%
Market YES
88%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.46% +5 pts
45/100
The market indicates a low probability of Iran pre-emptively nuking Israel.
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
28.34%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 33.16% +5 pts
45/100
Market favors no nuclear strike by Iran on Israel if it develops a weapon.
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 159.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
The market expects a total score over 159.5 in the Howard vs. UMBC game.
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 36% -4.5 pts
65/100
Market favors Team Yandex to cover the spread against BB.
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors a YES outcome for BB against OG.
Map Handicap: STA (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
80/100
Market favors STA to win by at least 1.5 points over Bebop.
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
90/100
The market predicts a high likelihood of a US or Israeli strike on Iran by March 8, 2026.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.45% -4.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors over 2.5 games in this geopolitical context.
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
6.5%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $484K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40.5% -4.5 pts
60/100
Market leans towards NO for Mojtaba Khamenei's public appearance by March 31.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $31K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 41% -4.5 pts
65/100
Market favors fewer than 2.5 games, with a slight edge towards the NO outcome.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors over 2.5 games in this geopolitical context.
Map Handicap: TRI (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
80/100
Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 80/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 165.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
The market predicts a total score over 165.5 for the game with high confidence.
Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Team Shpilit (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
Market strongly favors LYNX to win by at least 1.5 points against Team Shpilit.
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 164.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
The market predicts a high scoring game between Howard Bison and UMBC Retrievers.
Spread: Howard Bison (-1.5)
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40% -4.5 pts
70/100
Market favors a NO outcome for Howard Bison covering the spread.
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors NIP to win against Gaimin Gladiators.
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs aimclub (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
90/100
Market indicates a strong likelihood of FaZe winning by at least 2 maps.
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.45% -4.5 pts
80/100
The market favors AUR to win by at least 1.5 points against Infinite.
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 150.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors a total score over 150.5 in the matchup.
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 148.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors a total score over 148.5 in the game.
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
Market strongly favors a YES outcome for Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at -1.5 spread.
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 149.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
The market predicts a high likelihood of the total points exceeding 149.5.
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 144.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.5% -4.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors a total score over 144.5 in the game.
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