Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
29.5%
Market YES
71%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Zelenskyy speaking with Putin by year-end.
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $27K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market leans towards no Iranian strike on Jordan in March.
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
29.5%
Market YES
71%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 33% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
5.5%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $48K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 2.5 games with a strong NO probability.
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
1.3%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
1.9%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.7% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
7.5%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 23?
0.7%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $55K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors temperatures above 7°C in Warsaw on March 23.
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 23?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $59K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.1% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors temperatures above 8°C in Warsaw on March 23.
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $58K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.75% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Elon Musk posting 240+ tweets in the specified timeframe.
Will Andrew Tate post 430-459 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.55% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors NO for Andrew Tate's post count from March 10-17, 2026.
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?
19%
Market YES
81%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 24% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Iran striking Ghawar Field by March 31.
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?
26.5%
Market YES
74%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates a low probability of an Iranian strike on Abqaiq by March 31.
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors NO for games total over 4.5.
Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs Team Essence (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Team Essence to win against YG.
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
1.1%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.6% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors no games exceeding 2.5 total.
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $145K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 31.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
The Secret Agent has a 28% chance of winning Best International Feature Film at the Oscars.
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
11%
Market YES
89%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $537K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 31% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 65 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified dates.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on March 23?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.75% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 25°C in Taipei on March 23.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 23?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors temperatures below 26°C in Taipei on March 23.
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
2.7%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.2% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
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