Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.35% +3.5 pts

Low probability of 14-17 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026.

Games Total: O/U 4.5

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 38.5% +3.5 pts

Market favors fewer than 4.5 games, with a strong NO probability.

Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 37.5% +3.5 pts

Market leans towards no for over $10M in P2P Protocol public sale commitments.

Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 37% +3.5 pts

Market leans towards no, indicating skepticism about the public sale exceeding $12M.

Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30.5% +3.5 pts

Market indicates low confidence in over $14M for the P2P Protocol public sale.

Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30.5% +3.5 pts

Market shows low confidence in over $16M for the P2P Protocol public sale.

Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29.5% +3.5 pts

Market suggests low confidence in over $18M for the P2P Protocol public sale.

Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors no strikes on Somalia in March 2026.

Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30% +3.5 pts

Market indicates low confidence in over $50M for the P2P Protocol public sale.

Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 40% +3.5 pts

Market favors NO outcome for FaZe vs TYLOO match with a slight edge for NO.

Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.5% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors Game Hunters to win against Map Handicap.

Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.9% +3.5 pts

Low probability of Pakistan sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.2% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors a NO outcome for the next US-Iran meeting location.

Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.65% +3.5 pts

Low probability for India sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.

Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.45% +3.5 pts

Low probability of Canada sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.5% +3.5 pts

Low probability for UK warships in the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.15% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors the next US-Iran meeting occurring in the US.

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19.5% +3.5 pts

Market favors no US escorting ships through Hormuz by April 15.

Will Georgia vs. Israel end in a draw?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.5% +3.5 pts

The market suggests a low probability of a draw in the Georgia vs. Israel match.

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.65% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 240+ tweets in March 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.7% +3.5 pts

Low probability of Musk posting 215-239 tweets from March 19 to 21, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16% +3.5 pts

Market favors fewer than 115 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 28?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.8% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 24°C in Taipei on March 28.

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 28?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.05% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 23°C in Taipei on March 28.

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