Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
9.5%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $92K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors no US escorting ships through Hormuz by April 15.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
1.65%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.15% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors the next US-Iran meeting occurring in the US.
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
14%
Market YES
86%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $26K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for UK warships in the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
9.65%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $26K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.45% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Canada sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
8.4%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $70K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for India sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.2% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors a NO outcome for the next US-Iran meeting location.
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
6.6%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $73K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.9% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Pakistan sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
5.05%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $77K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.25% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Greece sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
19.5%
Market YES
81%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 26.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates a low likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the next US-Iran meeting will not be in Saudi Arabia.
Military action against Iran ends by March 26, 2026?
13.5%
Market YES
87%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 17.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of military action against Iran ending by March 2026.
Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?
17.5%
Market YES
83%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of military action against Iran ending by March 30, 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
3.1%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.4% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the next US-Iran meeting being in Qatar.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
4.2%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $15K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.75% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the US-Iran meeting in Switzerland.
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
26.5%
Market YES
74%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $60K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 39.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a lower likelihood of U.S. warships in the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.8% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the US-Iran meeting in Austria.
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
5.2%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $182K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Japan sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
4.4%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $52K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.35% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Italy sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
2.3%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.7% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the next US-Iran meeting will not be in Egypt.
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
12%
Market YES
88%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of France sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $28K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the US-Iran meeting in Kazakhstan.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.8% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the next US-Iran meeting will not be in Italy.
Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs CSDIILIT (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 43% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market favors a NO outcome for BW vs CSDIILIT with a slight edge in probabilities.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
9.3%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.05% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates a low probability for the next US-Iran meeting to be in Turkey.
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