Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will "Ordinary - Alex Warren" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.35% +3.5 pts
55/100
The market strongly favors 'NO' for Alex Warren's song being #1 on Billboard.
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?
1.15%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $81K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a low probability of India striking Pakistan by March 31.
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
23.5%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $169K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 27% +3.5 pts
70/100
Market leans towards Russia not re-entering Ternuvate by March 31.
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
0.95%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.75% +3.5 pts
60/100
Ukraine is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final according to current market odds.
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29% +3.5 pts
70/100
Market favors Team Yandex to cover the handicap against Xtreme.
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
7%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of an E.U. country striking Iran by April 30.
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?
3.95%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.7% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates a low probability of Oman striking Iran by April 30.
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
6%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low likelihood of Bahrain striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
2.25%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $77K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.95% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Germany striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $124K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Elon Musk will not tweet 215-239 times during the specified dates.
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
6.4%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.8% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Turkey striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a 'NO' outcome.
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $405K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 65 tweets from Musk between March 26-28, 2026.
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.6% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Powell will not say 'Balance Sheet' in March press conference.
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $537K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 31.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 90 tweets from Musk during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
60%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $54K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market leans towards fewer tweets from Musk during the specified period.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
4.1%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.65% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the US-Iran meeting in Oman.
Military action against Iran ends by March 14, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.55% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that military action against Iran will not end by March 14, 2026.
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?
17%
Market YES
83%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 20.5% +3.5 pts
55/100
The market indicates a low probability of military action against Iran ending by March 2026.
Military action against Iran ends by March 25, 2026?
11.5%
Market YES
89%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 15% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates low likelihood of military action against Iran ending by March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $103K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.95% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Elon Musk will not post 190-214 tweets from March 26-28, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
3.2%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $35K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Musk to tweet 115-139 times from March 30 to April 1, 2026.
Military action against Iran ends by March 17, 2026?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.35% +3.5 pts
55/100
The market strongly favors no military action against Iran ending by March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $146K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Musk to tweet 165-189 times from March 26 to 28, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
9%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $84K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 35% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 40 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified dates.
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