Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

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Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19.5% +3.5 pts

Low probability of Bahrain striking Iran by March 31, with market favoring a NO outcome.

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.3% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors fewer than 520 tweets from Musk in the specified period.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.85% +3.5 pts

Low probability of Musk tweeting 140-164 times from March 12-14, 2026.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 35% +3.5 pts

Market indicates low probability of Iran x Israel/US conflict ending by April 15.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 31% +3.5 pts

Market favors fewer tweets from Elon Musk between March 12-14, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.75% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors NO on Musk posting 215-239 tweets in March 2026.

Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.35% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors no military action against Iran ending by March 27, 2026.

Military action against Iran ends on March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.05% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors that military action against Iran will not end by March 13, 2026.

Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.15% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors that military action against Iran will not end by March 18, 2026.

Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.05% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors that military action against Iran will not end by March 25, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.1% +3.5 pts

Market favors fewer than 880 tweets from Musk in March 2026.

Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.65% +3.5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of military action against Iran ending by March 29, 2026.

Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.3% +3.5 pts

Low market probability suggests minimal expectation of military action against Iran ending by March

Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.3% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors no military action against Iran ending by March 15, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.75% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 240+ tweets from March 12-14, 2026.

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.7% +3.5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of a US/Israel strike in Yemen by March 7.

Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.7% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors no military action against Iran ending by March 23, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29% +3.5 pts

Market favors fewer than 90-114 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified dates.

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in March 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.85% +3.5 pts

Low probability for Musk posting 960-999 tweets in March 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 24% +3.5 pts

Market favors fewer than 115 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.15% +3.5 pts

Low probability for Musk to tweet 165-189 times from March 12-14, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.55% +3.5 pts

Market predicts Elon Musk will not tweet 190-214 times from March 12-14, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in March 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.8% +3.5 pts

Low probability of Elon Musk tweeting 920-959 times in March 2026.

Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.25% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors no military action against Iran ending by March 19, 2026.

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