Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 23?
0.7%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $55K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors temperatures above 7°C in Warsaw on March 23.
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 23?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $59K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.1% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors temperatures above 8°C in Warsaw on March 23.
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $803K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.95% +3.5 pts
55/100
Low probability for Musk posting 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $245K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.9% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates a low likelihood of Musk tweeting 580+ times in the specified period.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $44K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors NO for games total over 2.5.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market favors fewer than 2.5 games with a 65.5% probability.
Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs Team Essence (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Team Essence to win against YG.
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?
26.5%
Market YES
74%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates a low probability of an Iranian strike on Abqaiq by March 31.
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?
19%
Market YES
81%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 24% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Iran striking Ghawar Field by March 31.
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?
31.5%
Market YES
69%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $53K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 35% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market sees a low chance of Iran striking the Al Zour Refinery by March 31.
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?
22%
Market YES
78%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $33K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 26.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates a low probability of Iran striking Safaniya Field by March 31.
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $541K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Musk posting 40 or more tweets during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $486K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 15% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Musk to tweet 40-64 times from March 23-25, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $537K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 31% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 65 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified dates.
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $541K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 32.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 90-114 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $273K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Musk to tweet 115-139 times from March 23 to 25, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $417K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.1% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Musk to post 140-164 tweets from March 23-25, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $108K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.35% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Musk posting 165-189 tweets from March 23 to 25, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $84K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Musk to tweet 190-214 times from March 23-25, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $83K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.75% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Musk posting 215-239 tweets from March 23 to 25, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $58K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.75% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Elon Musk posting 240+ tweets in the specified timeframe.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $48K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 2.5 games with a strong NO probability.
Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $27K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market leans towards no Iranian strike on Jordan in March.
Will Iran strike France by March 31?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a low probability of Iran striking France by March 31.
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