Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?
2.55%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $130K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.05% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Iran striking Afghanistan by April 2026.
Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?
21%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 24.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates a low likelihood of Iran striking Yemen by April 30, 2026.
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
30.5%
Market YES
70%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests a low likelihood of Iran striking Lebanon by April 2026.
Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?
4.15%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $130K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.3% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low market probability suggests minimal expectation of an Iran-India strike by April 2026.
Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?
2.1%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.6% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Iran striking Spain by April 30, 2026.
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?
2.65%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $130K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.15% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Iran striking France by April 30, 2026.
Will Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?
3.1%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.6% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Iran striking Germany by April 2026.
Will Iran strike Poland by April 30, 2026?
3.65%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $28K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.15% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Iran striking Poland by April 2026.
Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?
2.8%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.3% +3.5 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Iran strike Hungary by April 30, 2026?
2.35%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.85% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a low probability of Iran striking Hungary by April 2026.
Will Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?
2.65%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.15% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Iran striking Ukraine by April 30, 2026.
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
9.5%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Iran striking Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026.
Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?
1.7%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.2% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Iran striking Armenia by April 30, 2026.
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?
2.45%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.95% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Iran striking Georgia by April 30, 2026.
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?
5%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Iran striking the UK by April 2026.
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
17%
Market YES
83%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 30.5% +3.5 pts
55/100
The market suggests a low probability of a US-Iran meeting by April 2026.
Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
1.6%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.1% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for 'War Machine' to be the top US Netflix movie this week.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 28?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.05% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 23°C in Taipei on March 28.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 28?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.8% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 24°C in Taipei on March 28.
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 27% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 4.5 games with a 76.5% probability of NO.
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
14%
Market YES
86%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $26K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for UK warships in the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
9.65%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $26K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.45% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Canada sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
8.4%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $70K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for India sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
6.6%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $73K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.9% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Pakistan sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
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