Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
12%
Market YES
88%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of France sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
4.05%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for Germany sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $100K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.2% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of the Netherlands sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by 2026.
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
5.05%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $77K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.25% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Greece sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
4.4%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $52K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.35% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Italy sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
5.2%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $182K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Japan sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
26.5%
Market YES
74%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $60K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 39.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a lower likelihood of U.S. warships in the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $81K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.25% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Elon Musk will not post 165-189 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $70K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 190-214 times in the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $43K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low likelihood of Musk tweeting 215-239 times from March 30 to April 1, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $187K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.7% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors Elon Musk posting more than 40 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
9%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $84K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 35% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 40 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified dates.
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
60%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $54K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market leans towards fewer tweets from Musk during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
27.75%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $57K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 90-114 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
3.2%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $35K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Musk to tweet 115-139 times from March 30 to April 1, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
0.7%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $64K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Musk to post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026.
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?
5.5%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Jordan striking Iran by April 30.
Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?
1.3%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $484K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors that Canada will not strike Iran by April 30.
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
5%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Qatar striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?
6.5%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Kuwait striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
4.85%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $149K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of France striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
6.4%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.8% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Turkey striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a 'NO' outcome.
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?
2.25%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $77K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.95% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Germany striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
6%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low likelihood of Bahrain striking Iran by April 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.
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