Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
40.77%
Market YES
59%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 37.77% -3 pts
50/100
The market suggests a lower likelihood of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan by 2035.
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47% -3 pts
65/100
The market is evenly split on the outcome of MGLZ vs Spirit.
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
5.7%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $234K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47% -3 pts
60/100
The market is evenly split on whether the Iran x Israel/US conflict will end by April 7.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
49%
Market YES
51%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 46% -3 pts
60/100
The market on total games is closely balanced between over and under 2.5 games.
Will over 5000 Gazans be killed by the IDF in 2026?
43%
Market YES
57%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 37.65% -3 pts
60/100
Market suggests a lower likelihood of over 5000 Gazans being killed by the IDF in 2026.
Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2029?
25.48%
Market YES
75%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 41.9% -3 pts
50/100
The market suggests a low probability of new nuclear plants producing power by 2029.
Will >30,000 people die in a US civil war before 2043?
45%
Market YES
55%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42% -3 pts
50/100
Market suggests a low likelihood of over 30,000 deaths in a US civil war by 2043.
AI controlled drone dogfights will make a debut in Ukraine by end of war.
46.56%
Market YES
53%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 45% -3 pts
45/100
Market shows a near split on AI drone dogfights debuting in Ukraine by war's end.
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47% -3 pts
65/100
The market shows a balanced outlook on the PARI vs Aurora matchup.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47% -3 pts
60/100
The market is evenly split on whether total games will exceed 2.5.
Map Handicap: MEGO (-1.5) vs CSDIILIT (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47% -3 pts
60/100
The market is evenly split on MEGO vs CSDIILIT, indicating uncertainty.
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47% -3 pts
65/100
The market shows a balanced outlook with equal probabilities for both outcomes.
Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 43% -3 pts
60/100
Market favors NO outcome slightly, indicating skepticism about OG's dominance.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 43% -3 pts
60/100
Market leans towards fewer than 2.5 games being played with a slight edge for NO.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
12%
Market YES
88%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $36K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 46.5% -3 pts
60/100
Market shows a near even split on Kharg Island's control by April 15.
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $592K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.8% +2.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for Musk to post 140-164 tweets from March 7-9, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $820K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.85% +2.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Musk posting 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $338K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.8% +2.5 pts
65/100
Market strongly favors fewer than 165 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $522K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.6% +2.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Iran striking Turkey in March, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $77K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.6% +2.5 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors that Andrew Tate will not post 130-159 times during the specified week.
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $363K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 16.5% +2.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a low probability of Iran striking Syria in March.
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $20K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.55% +2.5 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors that Andrew Tate will not post 160-189 times in the specified period.
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.55% +2.5 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors that Andrew Tate will not post 190-219 times in the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 20-29 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $183K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.65% +2.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for Musk to post 20-29 tweets in the given timeframe.
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