Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

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Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.5% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability of a Gulf State striking Iran by March 7.

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30% +2 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of another country striking Iran by March 31.

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.45% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability of U.S. invasion of Iran by March 31.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.8% +2 pts

Low probability of military action by France, UK, or Germany against Iran by March 31.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18.5% +2 pts

Market favors fewer than 280 tweets from Musk during the specified week.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 25.95% +2 pts

Market favors fewer than 300 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified period.

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.15% +2 pts

Market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 460-479 times in early March 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts

Low probability for Musk to post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026.

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2% +2 pts

The market strongly favors that Iran will not announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts

Low probability for Musk to tweet 500-519 times in the specified period.

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.4% +2 pts

The market strongly favors 'NO' for The Secret Agent winning Best Picture.

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.45% +2 pts

Low likelihood of Elon Musk posting 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026.

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.3% +2 pts

Israel has a low probability of winning Eurovision 2026 according to the market.

Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 39% +2 pts

Market indicates a lower likelihood of a Houthi strike on Israel by March 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 31.1% +2 pts

Market favors fewer than 320 tweets from Musk during the specified period.

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28% +2 pts

Market indicates low probability of Saudi Arabia striking Iran by March 31.

Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6% +2 pts

Market suggests low likelihood of Iran claiming responsibility for the Oslo Embassy attack.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.5% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability of the Iran x Israel/US conflict ending by March 31.

Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.25% +2 pts

Low likelihood of a Houthi strike on Israel by March 2026.

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.1% +2 pts

The market strongly favors NO for the movie being top grossing in 2026.

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23% +2 pts

Market favors no US military support for Kurds in Iran by March 31.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30.5% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026.

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.7% +2 pts

Ryan Coogler has a low chance of winning Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.3% +2 pts

Low likelihood of Elon Musk posting 380-399 tweets in the specified timeframe.

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