Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
9.5%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.5% +2 pts
85/100
Low probability of Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by June 30.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9.85%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.85% +2 pts
95/100
Low probability for a China-Taiwan invasion by 2026, with market favoring peace.
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $637K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.25% +2 pts
75/100
Market strongly favors NO on Musk posting 440-459 tweets during the specified period.
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $403K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +2 pts
65/100
Low probability for an Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7.
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $331K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 540-559 tweets during the specified period.
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?
10.5%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $343K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market suggests low probability of US accusing Iran in the Oslo Embassy attack.
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $286K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
75/100
Market strongly favors Elon Musk posting fewer than 520 tweets during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $328K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 560-579 tweets during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.95% +2 pts
75/100
Market strongly favors Elon Musk posting fewer than 400 tweets.
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1.95%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $169K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.5% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Sadegh Larijani as head of state in Iran by end of 2026.
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.45% +2 pts
85/100
Sentimental Value has a low chance of winning Best Picture at the Oscars.
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $237K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.15% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Ali Larijani as head of state in Iran by end of 2026.
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1.9%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $769K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Alireza Arafi to be Iran's head of state by 2026.
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $921K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.95% +2 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors that Germany will not strike Iran by March 31.
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
2.45%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.95% +2 pts
80/100
Ukraine's chances of winning Eurovision 2026 are currently very low.
Iran Nuke before 2027?
13.5%
Market YES
87%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $239K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 18.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market shows low probability for Iran developing nuclear weapons by 2027.
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
1.05%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 39.5% +2 pts
85/100
The market leans towards no UAE strike on Iran by March 31.
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $256K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors Elon Musk posting 20 or more tweets during the specified week.
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $89K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.45% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Abbas Araghchi to be head of state in Iran by end of 2026.
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 23% +2 pts
85/100
Sinners has a low chance of winning Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $130K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
85/100
The market overwhelmingly predicts Iran will not announce a new supreme leader by March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $344K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.3% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability of Musk posting 560-579 tweets during the specified period.
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $766K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.3% +2 pts
80/100
Low probability of France striking Iran by March 31, with market favoring no action.
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4.65%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $666K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.7% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Hassan Khomeini as head of state in Iran by end of 2026.
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