Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

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Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.2% +2 pts

Wagner Moura has a low probability of winning Best Actor at the Oscars.

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.5% +2 pts

Leonardo DiCaprio has a low chance of winning Best Actor at the upcoming Oscars.

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.35% +2 pts

Ethan Hawke has a low probability of winning Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16.1% +2 pts

Market favors fewer than 340 tweets from Musk during the specified period.

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.5% +2 pts

The market strongly favors no US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34.5% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability of a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 15.1% +2 pts

Market favors fewer than 320 tweets from Musk during the specified period.

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.55% +2 pts

Low probability of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan by mid-2026.

Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +2 pts

Chloé Zhao is unlikely to win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards.

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 24.5% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Qatar striking Iran by March 31.

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.4% +2 pts

Low probability for Musk posting 480-499 tweets from March 6-13, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13.9% +2 pts

Market favors fewer than 360 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified period.

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.7% +2 pts

Market indicates low probability for Reza Pahlavi leading Iran in 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.75% +2 pts

Market strongly favors Elon Musk posting fewer than 500 tweets.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34.6% +2 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Mojtaba Khamenei becoming head of state by 2026.

Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.7% +2 pts

Market indicates low probability of Canada striking Iran by March 31.

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.05% +2 pts

Market favors fewer than 420 tweets from Musk between March 6-13, 2026.

Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.85% +2 pts

Low probability for Muhammad Mirbaqiri as head of state in Iran by end of 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.95% +2 pts

Market favors fewer than 400 tweets from Elon Musk during the specified period.

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.35% +2 pts

The market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 540-559 times in the specified period.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.35% +2 pts

Low probability for Musk to tweet 160-179 times from March 10-17, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.45% +2 pts

The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 520-539 tweets during the specified period.

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts

The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by Iran on March 10, 2026.

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13% +2 pts

Market favors NO on Musk posting 380-399 tweets from March 6-13, 2026.

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