Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $369K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.95% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk to post 480-499 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $742K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.15% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability of Elon Musk posting 240+ tweets from March 9 to 11, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.8% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk posting 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $895K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.8% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk posting 460-479 tweets from March 6-13, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $238K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.15% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk posting 215-239 tweets from March 9-11, 2026.
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.7% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors no significant Fed rate cuts in 2026.
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
27%
Market YES
73%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $784K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29% +2 pts
75/100
The market indicates a low probability of a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 11, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $73K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market indicates a strong belief that Iran will not announce a new supreme leader on March 11, 2
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 12, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $47K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by March 12, 2026.
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2.35%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $136K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.8% +2 pts
75/100
Toy Story 5 is unlikely to be the top grossing movie of 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $351K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3% +2 pts
75/100
Market predicts Elon Musk will not post 560-579 tweets during the specified week.
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $494K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.3% +2 pts
80/100
Low probability of Turkey striking Iran by March 31, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 23, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $27K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
Market overwhelmingly predicts no announcement of a new supreme leader by Iran on March 23, 2026.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $70K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
80/100
Low probability of Iran announcing a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026.
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $471K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market indicates a low probability of Renate Reinsve winning Best Actress.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
13.5%
Market YES
87%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $811K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 15.5% +2 pts
80/100
Low market probability suggests Russia is unlikely to capture Kostyantynivka by March 31.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 14, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $35K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by Iran on March 14, 2026.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 24, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $32K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
Market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by March 2026.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
25.5%
Market YES
75%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $610K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 33.5% +2 pts
80/100
Market shows low probability for Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by year-end.
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
24.5%
Market YES
76%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $238K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 26.5% +2 pts
80/100
Low probability of a strike on Iran by France, UK, or Germany by June 30.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $43K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by March 13, 2026.
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $191K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10% +2 pts
80/100
Low probability of Jordan striking Iran by March 31, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 30, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
80/100
Low probability of Iran announcing a new supreme leader on March 30, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market predicts Elon Musk will tweet less than 320 times during the specified week.
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