Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $74.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.45% -4.5 pts
95/100
High likelihood of a major Israeli ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31.
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $59M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Market indicates no expectation of US forces entering Iran by March 14.
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $59M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Market indicates no expectation of US forces entering Iran by March 7.
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $58.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts
95/100
High probability of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz by March 31.
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1.95%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $39.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.95% Fair
95/100
Market indicates low probability of US forces entering Iran by March 31.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
The market strongly favors no ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026.
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
90/100
The market strongly predicts an Iranian strike on Israel on March 4.
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
90/100
The market strongly indicates that Iran will not strike Israel on March 6.
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
90/100
The market strongly predicts an Iranian strike on Israel on March 8.
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
90/100
The market strongly predicts an Iranian strike on Israel on March 9.
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
90/100
The market shows a strong expectation of an Iranian strike on Israel on March 3.
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
90/100
The market indicates a strong belief that Iran will strike Israel on March 5.
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 94% -6 pts
90/100
Market predicts a high likelihood of Iran striking Israel on March 7.
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 93.95% -6 pts
90/100
High probability of an Iranian strike on Israel on March 10, but some undervaluation on the NO side.
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 220-239 tweets in the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Market expects Elon Musk will not post 240-259 tweets during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 260-279 times in early March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors that Elon Musk will not post 20-39 tweets during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 160-179 tweets during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 40-59 tweets during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
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