Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 57% -7 pts

The market shows a 64% chance of Trump being impeached in his second term.

Will there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 63.09% -7 pts

There is a 70.09% chance of a female US president by 2040.

Will the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 68.78% -7 pts

There is a strong belief that the 2026 US Midterm Elections will be free and fair.

Twitter user Umichvoter predicts Illinois primaries perfectly?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20.99% +7 pts

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 85.57% -7 pts

High probability suggests Gavin Newsom is likely to run for President in 2028.

Llaneros FC vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC: O/U 4.5

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19% +7 pts

The market favors a low-scoring game between Llaneros FC and Cúcuta Deportivo FC.

Will the Pope Leo XIV shake hand with President Trump?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 72.91% -7 pts

High probability suggests Pope Leo XIV will shake hands with Trump.

Will Trump say "Heritage" or "Culture" during Taoiseach events?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 82% -7 pts

High probability that Trump will use 'Heritage' or 'Culture' at Taoiseach events.

Will Joe Biden be alive in November of 2028?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 63.86% -7 pts

Market favors Biden's survival until November 2028 with a 70.86% probability.

Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 84.26% -7 pts

High probability for Democrats winning House majority in 2026 elections.

Will Trump issue a pardon / commutation for a group of people (not by name) during his term?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 84.41% -7 pts

High probability indicates strong market belief Trump will issue a pardon during his term.

Did Donald Trump have sex with an underage girl? [Resolves to % based on poll]

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 63.01% -7 pts

Market indicates a high probability of Trump having sex with an underage girl.

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 83.08% -7 pts

The market strongly favors a Republican win in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 66% -7 pts

Market favors Trump being president by 2028, but AI sees a narrower margin.

Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 83.61% -7 pts

Market strongly favors Trump being president on 12/31/2026.

Will Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 53.4% -7 pts

Market shows a higher probability for Trump to suggest Iceland join the USA before 2029.

Will Maura Healey be reelected as Governor of Massachusetts in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 78.44% -7 pts

Maura Healey has an 85.44% chance of reelection as Massachusetts Governor in 2026.

Will at least 25% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 57.76% -7 pts

Market suggests a strong likelihood of cabinet changes during Trump's term.

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 73.4% -7 pts

Market favors a Republican win in Florida's 2026 Senate special election.

Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 68.21% -7 pts

The market indicates a strong belief the 2028 US presidential election will proceed normally.

Will Donald Trump visit Kentucky in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 57.5% -7 pts

Market favors a Trump visit to Kentucky in 2026 with a 64.5% probability.

Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 59.5% -7 pts

Market leans towards Trump visiting Maine in 2026 with a 66.5% probability.

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 66.94% -7 pts

AI is likely to be a top voter issue in the 2028 election.

Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 83.54% -7 pts

Lula has a high probability of completing his presidential term in Brazil.

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