Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 67.5% -7 pts
60/100
Market favors over 1.5 goals in the match with a strong probability.
Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
71.71%
Market YES
28%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 66.89% -7 pts
45/100
Market favors Trump outliving Biden with a 73.89% probability.
Will Joe Biden live through the next president's term end date?
59.24%
Market YES
41%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 58.27% -7 pts
45/100
Market suggests a higher probability of Biden living through the next term.
Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?
77.14%
Market YES
23%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 70.14% -7 pts
45/100
The market indicates a strong belief the 2024 president will complete their term.
Will Talarico outperform Beto O'Rourke in the 2026 US Senate Election in Texas?
60.7%
Market YES
39%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 56.11% -7 pts
55/100
Market favors Talarico to outperform O'Rourke in the 2026 Senate race.
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
86.25%
Market YES
14%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $36K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 82.45% -7 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors PLC winning the third most seats in the 2026 election.
Will the next elected President of the USA serve the full term?
74.6%
Market YES
25%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 67.6% -7 pts
45/100
Market indicates a strong belief the next President will complete their term.
Will Donald Trump be alive by 31 December 2026?
92.45%
Market YES
8%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 85% -7 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump being alive by the end of 2026.
Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?
52.91%
Market YES
47%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 58% -7 pts
55/100
Market favors all three leaders being in place for the next election.
Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?
66.77%
Market YES
33%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 56.35% -7 pts
45/100
Market indicates a 63.35% chance Biden will survive until Inauguration Day 2029.
Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $472K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 71.5% -7 pts
55/100
Market predicts Trump is likely to say 'UK' or 'United Kingdom' this week.
Will Trump finish his second term?
77.49%
Market YES
23%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 69.61% -7 pts
50/100
Market strongly favors Trump finishing his second term, but AI suggests some uncertainty.
Trump visits China before May 1, 2026?
2.61%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 66.7% -7 pts
55/100
Market favors a Trump visit to China before May 1, 2026, with a 73.7% probability.
Will Trump declare the Iran war to be won in the next month?
90.84%
Market YES
9%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $20K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 76.94% -7 pts
55/100
Market strongly favors Trump declaring the Iran war won soon.
Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
57%
Market YES
43%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $281K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 53.42% -7 pts
45/100
Market shows a 60.42% chance of a recession during Trump's second term.
Will Biden die before Trump
68.85%
Market YES
31%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 61.95% -7 pts
50/100
Market favors Biden's death before Trump's with a 68.95% probability.
Will Joe Biden be alive by 31 December 2026?
91.54%
Market YES
8%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 84.27% -7 pts
60/100
Market indicates high confidence Joe Biden will be alive by the end of 2026.
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $472K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 54% -7 pts
55/100
Market shows a 61% chance Trump will say 'Democrat Shutdown' this week.
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
63.72%
Market YES
36%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 57.74% -7 pts
45/100
Market indicates a high probability of Trump being impeached during his second term.
Will King Charles III outlive Trump?
74.99%
Market YES
25%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 59% -7 pts
55/100
Market favors King Charles III outliving Trump, but the NO side is undervalued.
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
63.57%
Market YES
36%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 57.74% -7 pts
45/100
Market suggests a high probability of Trump being impeached again in his 2nd term.
Will Donald Trump still be relevant in US politics by 2028?
85.31%
Market YES
15%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $30K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 78.31% -7 pts
50/100
Market shows high confidence in Trump's political relevance by 2028.
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
61.66%
Market YES
38%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 54.66% -7 pts
45/100
There's a 61.66% chance Mélenchon will run for president in 2027.
Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
76.51%
Market YES
23%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 69.51% -7 pts
50/100
High probability suggests belief in a major medical condition revelation for Trump.
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