Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Taoiseach events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12% +6.5 pts
55/100
Market predicts Trump will not use 'Bibi' or 'Netanyahu' at Taoiseach events.
Will any Republican Vote to Impeach Trump in 2026?
20.21%
Market YES
80%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22.61% +6 pts
55/100
The market shows a low probability of any Republican voting to impeach Trump in 2026.
Will Trump try to have his face engraved on Mt Rushmore during his second term?
14.9%
Market YES
85%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 20.44% +6 pts
45/100
Market leans heavily against Trump attempting to engrave his face on Mt Rushmore.
Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
4.42%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.91% +6 pts
45/100
Market shows low confidence in Trump's chances for a third term in 2028.
Will Trump talk to MrBeast in March?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $51K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.85% +6 pts
55/100
Low probability for Trump talking to MrBeast in March, with a strong NO sentiment.
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?
1.7%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $21K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 25% +6 pts
55/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Trump speaking to Pahlavi in March.
Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine)
18.49%
Market YES
82%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 18.72% +6 pts
55/100
Market favors Democrats winning the 2026 Senate election in a state Kamala Harris won.
Will Donald Trump die of assassination?
13.91%
Market YES
86%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.91% +6 pts
45/100
Market indicates low probability of Trump's assassination.
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? (March 22)
14%
Market YES
86%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12% +6 pts
55/100
Market favors 'NO' on Trump saying 'Migrant Crime' this week.
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in March?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.55% +6 pts
55/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Trump speaking to Kim in March.
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $27K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.6% +6 pts
55/100
Low probability for Trump to talk to Maduro in March.
Will James Talarico announce he is running for U.S. President in 2028?
11.36%
Market YES
89%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 17.36% +6 pts
45/100
Market indicates low likelihood of James Talarico running for president in 2028.
Trump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028
5.42%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.42% +6 pts
45/100
Market shows low probability for Trump coming out as LGBTQ by 2028.
Trump proclaims a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026?
10%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 16% +6 pts
55/100
Market shows low probability for Trump declaring a 'Straight Pride month' by August 2026.
WILL DONALD TRUMP INVADE MEXICO BEFORE 2029?
14.79%
Market YES
85%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 20.79% +6 pts
50/100
Market shows low probability for Trump invading Mexico before 2029.
Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027?
1.63%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.2% +6 pts
60/100
Market shows low probability for Trump serving house arrest before 2027.
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
15%
Market YES
85%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21% +6 pts
55/100
The market shows a strong belief that Liberals will not remain in Riksdag after the next election.
Will Trump and Xi meet as scheduled on March 31st?
1.21%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 16.22% +6 pts
55/100
Market indicates low probability of Trump and Xi meeting on March 31st.
[ACX 2026] Will Donald Trump cease to exercise presidential powers for 48 hours during 2026?
13.92%
Market YES
86%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.92% +6 pts
55/100
Market favors that Trump will not cease presidential powers for 48 hours in 2026.
Marco Rubio becomes president of Cuba before 2029
1%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7% +6 pts
45/100
Low probability for Rubio becoming president of Cuba by 2029.
Will Trump spend at least one month in prison during his lifetime?
7.33%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13.33% +6 pts
45/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Trump spending a month in prison.
Is Trump gay?
5%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11% +6 pts
45/100
Market shows low probability for Trump being gay, with a slight undervaluation on the YES side.
Will Democrats control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030?
10.56%
Market YES
89%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 16.56% +6 pts
50/100
Market indicates low probability of Democrats controlling all branches by 2030.
Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?
3%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.07% +6 pts
45/100
Kamala Harris has a low probability of being elected President in 2028.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119