Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Trump Pardon SBF by the end of January 2029?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20.94% +6 pts

The market shows a low probability of Trump pardoning SBF by January 2029.

Will Trump Die Before June 30th 2026

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.43% +6 pts

Market indicates low probability of Trump dying before June 30, 2026.

Trump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.93% +6 pts

Market indicates low probability of Trump attempting a 3rd term in 2028.

Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.16% +6 pts

Market indicates low probability for Trump's approval rating to exceed 40% at term's end.

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.54% +6 pts

The market indicates a strong belief that Western democracies will remain democratic by 2034.

Will Trump say "Pipeline" or "Road" during Taoiseach events?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21% +6 pts

Market favors 'Road' over 'Pipeline' for Trump's speech at Taoiseach events.

Will Democrats win every US House election in 2026 in Colorado?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20% +6 pts

Market suggests low confidence in Democrats winning all House elections in Colorado in 2026.

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16.24% +6 pts

Fetterman has a low chance of winning the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate.

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22% +6 pts

Market indicates low probability of Trump saying 'Peace in the Middle East' at Taoiseach events.

Will JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18.19% +6 pts

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 45/100. YES side may be undervalued.

Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19.55% +6 pts

Market favors a low chance of US unemployment reaching 10% by 2028.

Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.22% +6 pts

Low probability for a Republican coming out as trans in office before 2030.

Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.79% +6 pts

Market indicates low probability of Trump imposing tariffs on European countries over Greenland.

Will the 2028 Presidential Election be Vance vs. Newsom?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.79% +6 pts

The market favors a different matchup than Vance vs. Newsom for the 2028 election.

Kat Abughazaleh elected to Congress?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.11% +6 pts

Low probability of Kat Abughazaleh being elected to Congress.

Will Trump resign before the term end

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.39% +6 pts

Market shows low probability of Trump resigning before term ends.

Will JD Vance be president of the United States at any point before the end of January 2029?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 24.73% +6 pts

JD Vance has an 18.73% chance of becoming president by January 2029.

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.7% +6 pts

The market indicates a low probability of the Trump administration militarizing Los Angeles before 2

Will the SAVE Act be enacted before the 2026 US elections

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16.91% +6 pts

The market indicates a low probability of the SAVE Act being enacted before the 2026 elections.

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third term?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.65% +6 pts

Market shows low probability for Trump winning the 2028 election.

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16.41% +6 pts

Marine Le Pen has a low chance of winning the 2027 French Presidential Election.

Will Donald Trump die by April 1

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.57% +6 pts

Market indicates low probability of Donald Trump's death by April 1.

Will JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20.91% +6 pts

Market shows low probability for JD Vance assuming presidential powers in 2026.

Trump's first cabinet member fired, failed, or resigned Marco Rubio?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.79% +6 pts

Market shows low probability for Marco Rubio being the first cabinet member fired or resigning.

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