Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.15% +6 pts

The AI Data Center Moratorium Act is unlikely to pass Congress by the end of the session.

Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.5% +6 pts

Market indicates low confidence in Keir Starmer completing a full term as Prime Minister.

Israel and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.76% +6 pts

Low probability of Israel and Saudi Arabia establishing diplomatic relations before elections.

Will Melania say "Challenge" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 25% +6 pts

Market favors 'NO' for Melania saying 'Challenge' at the event.

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 15.81% +6 pts

Low probability for Ramaswamy holding a position in Trump's White House.

Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.76% +6 pts

Market suggests low confidence in Musk defeating 5 Republicans in 2026.

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.97% +6 pts

Low probability for Musk's candidates to secure 10%+ of the vote in 2026 Congressional races.

Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16.53% +6 pts

The market shows low probability for invoking the 25th Amendment against Trump.

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 17% +6 pts

Market indicates low probability of Claudio Tapia leaving AFA presidency by July 2026.

Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? (March 29)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.5% +6 pts

Market favors NO on Trump saying 'Tiger' this week, but AI suggests a higher chance for YES.

U.S. tests/uses nuclear weapon during Trump's presidency?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.58% +6 pts

Market indicates low probability of nuclear weapon use during Trump's presidency.

Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 15.76% +6 pts

Market shows low probability of a nuclear bomb detonation by the Trump administration.

Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called before the next ordinary general election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7% +6 pts

The market shows a low probability for an Extraordinary General Election in Scotland.

Trump caps credit card interest at 10% by EOY?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18.38% +6 pts

Market favors 'NO' on Trump capping credit card interest at 10% by year-end.

Will Tucker Carlson run for President by 2032?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22% +6 pts

Market suggests low likelihood of Tucker Carlson running for President by 2032.

Will JD Vance resign as US Vice President during Trump's second term?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18.41% +6 pts

Market shows low probability for JD Vance's resignation as VP during Trump's second term.

Will Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18% +6 pts

Kina Collins has a low chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-07.

Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13.79% +6 pts

Impeachment probability for Trump in 2026 is low, with a market consensus against it.

Will Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.51% +6 pts

Market shows low probability of Trump resigning during his second term.

Will Trump resign prior to the end of his term?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11% +6 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Trump resigning before term ends.

Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 81% -5.5 pts

High probability suggests Trump is likely to visit Alaska in 2026.

Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 91.9% -5.5 pts

Catherine Trautmann is highly favored to become the next mayor of Strasbourg.

Will Donald Trump visit Texas in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 94.5% -5.5 pts

Market predicts a high likelihood of Trump visiting Texas in 2026.

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 80.5% -5.5 pts

The market strongly favors the Swedish Social Democratic Party to win in 2026.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119