Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Soo Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Soo Hyun Chung has a low probability of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $265K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Jhonny Fernández has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election in Santa Cruz.
Will José Gary Áñez win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $35K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
José Gary Áñez has a very low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will Vicente Cuéllar win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Vicente Cuéllar has a low probability of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?
48.46%
Market YES
52%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.2% -4.5 pts
45/100
Michele Boldrin's election participation is uncertain, with a slight market lean towards 'yes'.
Will Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will Angélica Sosa win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
1.25%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $52K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability suggests Angélica Sosa is unlikely to win the election.
Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.4% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Conservative winning third most seats in 2026.
Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
0.1%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.05% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for PH winning seats in 2026.
Will Trump say "Biden" 7+ times during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.95% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests Trump is unlikely to mention Biden frequently in Ohio.
Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.45% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market predicts Trump is unlikely to say 'Most Favored Nation' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "McKinley" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Trump is unlikely to say 'McKinley' during his Ohio visit.
Will Donald Trump still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
59.06%
Market YES
41%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55.36% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market indicates a higher probability of Trump being alive in 2030.
Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during Ohio visit?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.3% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Trump mentioning 'Eli Lilly' in Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'percent' 20+ times in Ohio.
Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $15K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Drug' 15+ times in Ohio.
Will Trump say "Vivek" or "Ramaswamy" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Trump is unlikely to use 'Vivek' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Gulf of America' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Yemen" or "Houthi" during Kentucky visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Trump mentioning 'Yemen' or 'Houthi' during his Kentucky visit.
Will Eric France be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
2.45%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.95% +4.5 pts
60/100
Eric France has a low chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-02.
Will Trump incarcerate or institutionalize trans people just for being trans?
58.9%
Market YES
41%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 54.4% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market shows a slight lean towards the possibility of Trump targeting trans individuals.
Will Adal Regis be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $67K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Adal Regis has a very low chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-02.
Netanyahu out by June 30?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Netanyahu leaving by June 30, with market favoring his continuation.
Will Yumeka Brown be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Yumeka Brown has a low chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-02.
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