Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Netanyahu out by June 30?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of Netanyahu leaving by June 30, with market favoring his continuation.
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
58%
Market YES
42%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 52.51% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market sees a slight probability of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024.
Will Donald Trump still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
59.06%
Market YES
41%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55.36% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market indicates a higher probability of Trump being alive in 2030.
Will Angélica Sosa win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
1.25%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $52K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability suggests Angélica Sosa is unlikely to win the election.
Will Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will Vicente Cuéllar win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Vicente Cuéllar has a low probability of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will José Gary Áñez win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $35K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
José Gary Áñez has a very low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $265K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Jhonny Fernández has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election in Santa Cruz.
Will Soo Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Soo Hyun Chung has a low probability of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will Oscar Vargas win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $49K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.35% +4.5 pts
60/100
Oscar Vargas is unlikely to win the 2026 mayoral election in Santa Cruz de la Sierra.
Will Luciano Negrete win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Luciano Negrete has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election in Santa Cruz de la Sierra.
Will Félix Oros win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Félix Oros has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election.
Will Alfredo Solares win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $28K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Alfredo Solares has a low chance of winning the 2026 mayoral election in Santa Cruz de la Sierra.
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $765K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 60 Truth Social posts next March.
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $457K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market favors Trump posting fewer than 80 Truth Social posts in March 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $46K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 20.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 140 Truth Social posts by Trump during the specified week.
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $37K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.45% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to 24, 2026.
Trump's Republican approval below 80%?
57.26%
Market YES
43%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 52.76% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market shows a close probability on Trump's approval staying below 80%.
Will Trump be regarded as a fascist by most mainstream scholars in 2050?
60%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55.5% -4.5 pts
50/100
There is a 60% chance Trump will be seen as a fascist by scholars in 2050.
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $510K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 40 Truth Social posts.
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $57K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to 24, 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $510K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17-24, 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $49K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.2% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 180 Truth Social posts.
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $167K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to 24, 2026.
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