Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?
52.34%
Market YES
48%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 50.94% -4.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates a slight chance of Kemi Badenoch facing a No Confidence vote by 2027.
Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?
56.1%
Market YES
44%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 51.54% -4.5 pts
45/100
There's a close probability for Charles Schwab customers accessing a prediction market on the electi
Will Trump visit Xi Jinping in Zhongnanhai during his second term?
52.03%
Market YES
48%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47.53% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market shows a slight edge for Trump visiting Xi during his second term.
Trump's Republican approval below 80%?
57.26%
Market YES
43%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 52.76% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market shows a close probability on Trump's approval staying below 80%.
Will Trump be regarded as a fascist by most mainstream scholars in 2050?
60%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55.5% -4.5 pts
50/100
There is a 60% chance Trump will be seen as a fascist by scholars in 2050.
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $510K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 40 Truth Social posts.
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $57K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to 24, 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $37K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.45% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to 24, 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $60K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.15% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 200 Truth Social posts in March 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $510K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17-24, 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $167K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to 24, 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $49K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.2% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 180 Truth Social posts.
Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $58K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.75% +4.5 pts
55/100
Switzerland has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
1.1%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $51K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Australia has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.
Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.95% +4.5 pts
55/100
UK has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.
Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.95% +4.5 pts
55/100
Serbia is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote according to current market data.
Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts
55/100
San Marino has a very low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $202K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Poland has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.
Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $39K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.15% +4.5 pts
60/100
Luxembourg is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote based on current probabilities.
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.55% +4.5 pts
55/100
Lithuania is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote according to current market data.
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
2.15%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $85K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.7% +4.5 pts
55/100
Italy has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote according to current market data.
Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $172K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12% +4.5 pts
60/100
Estonia has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.
Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $33K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.75% +4.5 pts
55/100
Belgium is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote according to current market data.
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
1.65%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.55% +4.5 pts
55/100
Denmark has a low chance of winning the Eurovision 2026 televote.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119