Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?
52.34%
Market YES
48%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 50.94% -4.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates a slight chance of Kemi Badenoch facing a No Confidence vote by 2027.
Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the Left winning seats in Sachsen-Anhalt.
Will Trump say "Kim" or "Korea" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates Trump is unlikely to say 'Kim' or 'Korea' with high confidence.
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.15% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors BSW not winning the most seats in 2026 elections.
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
8.85%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $462K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13.05% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market favors a NO outcome for CDU winning the most seats in 2026 elections.
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.1% +4.5 pts
60/100
FDP is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt elections.
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
0.8%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $24K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.15% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors SPD not winning the most seats in the 2026 elections.
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
The Greens are unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt elections.
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
1.4%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $33K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.8% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Bryce Reeves as Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia.
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
60%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55.5% -4.5 pts
45/100
The market indicates a 60% chance of the Democratic Party winning the 2028 election.
IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?
52%
Market YES
48%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 45.97% -4.5 pts
55/100
The market shows a near-even split on Schumer's leadership if Democrats win the Senate.
Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
1.7%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.15% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Winsome Earle-Sears not being the Republican nominee.
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
21.5%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
David Williams has a low chance of being the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia.
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
6.55%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $446K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.1% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Kim Farington as Republican nominee in Virginia.
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
1.45%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Alex De Paula as the Republican nominee.
Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.45% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Egg' at the NRCC Dinner.
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Jason Miyares is unlikely to be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia.
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
7.85%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.35% +4.5 pts
60/100
Al Mina has a low chance of being the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia.
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $22K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability suggests Michelle Bolsonaro is unlikely to finish second.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
23.5%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $22K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19% +4.5 pts
60/100
Lula is unlikely to finish second in the 2026 election, per current market odds.
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $623K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Haddad finishing second in the 2026 election.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Eduardo Bolsonaro is unlikely to finish second in the 2026 election, per market data.
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $65K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.8% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates low probability of Tarcisio de Freitas finishing second in the election.
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.75%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $592K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.8% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability suggests Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior is unlikely to finish second.
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