Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
21.5%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
David Williams has a low chance of being the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia.
Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
1.7%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.15% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Winsome Earle-Sears not being the Republican nominee.
IF Democrats win the senate, will Chuck Schumer be their leader?
52%
Market YES
48%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 45.97% -4.5 pts
55/100
The market shows a near-even split on Schumer's leadership if Democrats win the Senate.
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
60%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55.5% -4.5 pts
45/100
The market indicates a 60% chance of the Democratic Party winning the 2028 election.
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
1.6%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.1% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors the Republican Party not holding 30 or 31 governorships in 2026.
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
17%
Market YES
83%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $21K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market favors Tisza not winning 100–109 seats in the assembly.
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
5.7%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $398K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Tisza to win 80-89 seats in the National Assembly.
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
5.1%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $608K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.35% +4.5 pts
60/100
Tisza is unlikely to win fewer than 70 seats in the upcoming election.
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
16%
Market YES
84%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22.5% +4.5 pts
55/100
Market favors Tisza not winning 110–119 seats in the assembly.
Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
7.55%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $218K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.1% +4.5 pts
55/100
Low probability for Tisza to win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly.
Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
0.6%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors the Republican Party not holding 32 governorships post-2026.
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
9%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates a low probability for the GOP to hold 26 or 27 governorships post-2026 election
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
6.2%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $548K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.7% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors the Republican Party not holding 28 or 29 governorships post-2026.
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
10.5%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $44K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 20% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates a strong belief the GOP will retain 22 or more governorships post-2026 election
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $15K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Trump to post 180-199 Truth Social posts in the specified period.
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
8.1%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $175K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
Fidesz-KDNP is unlikely to win 130+ seats in the upcoming election.
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
27%
Market YES
73%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market favors a NO outcome for Fidesz-KDNP winning 85-99 seats.
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
7.5%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $284K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.2% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability for Fidesz-KDNP winning 115-129 seats indicates skepticism.
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $30K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market favors fewer than 120 Truth Social posts by Trump from March 13 to 20, 2026.
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 140 Truth Social posts in March 2026.
Will Trump say "Mental Institution" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.95% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Mental Institution' at the NRCC Dinner.
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors no, predicting Trump will not post 200+ Truth Social posts in the timefra
Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $20K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.75% +4.5 pts
55/100
Azerbaijan is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote based on current predictions.
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.05% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 160 Truth Social posts.
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