Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

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Will Melania say "Son" or "Barron" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.95% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors Melania not saying 'Son' or 'Barron'.

Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.95% +4.5 pts

Steve Lanier has a low chance of winning the 2026 Republican primary in New Mexico.

Will Belinda Robertson win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.55% +4.5 pts

Belinda Robertson has a low chance of winning the 2026 Republican primary in New Mexico.

Will Mark Murphy win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

Mark Murphy is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Republican primary in New Mexico.

Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

Susana Martinez is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Republican primary in New Mexico.

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51.47% -4.5 pts

Market shows a slight lean towards passing Ukraine aid if Trump wins.

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2029?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49.22% -4.5 pts

Market shows a close split on Putin's presidency status by 2029.

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts

Christian Estrosi is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Nice mayoral election.

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors tariffs remaining above 5% by March 31.

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.5% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors that U.S. tariffs on China will not be between 15% and 25%.

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.25% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors a NO outcome for U.S. tariff rates on China by March 31.

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for U.S. tariffs on China being 35% or greater.

Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Memphis Roundtable?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.5% +4.5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Trump saying 'Hell' 8+ times at the Memphis Roundtable.

Will Trump say "Egg" during Memphis Roundtable?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13% +4.5 pts

The market suggests a low likelihood of Trump saying 'Egg' during the Memphis Roundtable.

Will Trump say "Excursion" during Memphis Roundtable?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13.5% +4.5 pts

Market favors Trump not saying 'Excursion' at the Memphis Roundtable.

Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors Melania not using 'Husband' or 'Trump' at the event.

Will Melania say "Department of State" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.65% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Melania to say 'Department of State' at the event.

Will Melania say "Knowledge is power" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.7% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors Melania not saying 'Knowledge is power'.

Will Melania say "Peace" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.75% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors Melania not saying 'Peace' at the event.

Will Melania say "First Lady" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.05% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Melania saying 'First Lady' at the event.

Will Kevin Hern replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.5% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors Markwayne Mullin to remain Senator over Kevin Hern.

Will Ryan Walters replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.5% +4.5 pts

Ryan Walters is unlikely to replace Markwayne Mullin as Senator from Oklahoma.

Will Charles McCall replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.5% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors Markwayne Mullin to remain Senator over Charles McCall.

Will no person replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma before the midterm election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors no replacement for Mullin before the midterm election.

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