Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Melania say "Department of State" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.65% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Melania to say 'Department of State' at the event.

Will Melania say "Husband" or "Trump" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors Melania not using 'Husband' or 'Trump' at the event.

Will Trump say "Excursion" during Memphis Roundtable?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13.5% +4.5 pts

Market favors Trump not saying 'Excursion' at the Memphis Roundtable.

Will Trump say "Egg" during Memphis Roundtable?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13% +4.5 pts

The market suggests a low likelihood of Trump saying 'Egg' during the Memphis Roundtable.

Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Memphis Roundtable?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.5% +4.5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Trump saying 'Hell' 8+ times at the Memphis Roundtable.

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for U.S. tariffs on China being 35% or greater.

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.25% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors a NO outcome for U.S. tariff rates on China by March 31.

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.5% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors that U.S. tariffs on China will not be between 15% and 25%.

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors tariffs remaining above 5% by March 31.

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts

Christian Estrosi is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Nice mayoral election.

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2029?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49.22% -4.5 pts

Market shows a close split on Putin's presidency status by 2029.

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51.47% -4.5 pts

Market shows a slight lean towards passing Ukraine aid if Trump wins.

Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

Susana Martinez is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Republican primary in New Mexico.

Will Mark Murphy win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

Mark Murphy is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Republican primary in New Mexico.

Will Belinda Robertson win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.55% +4.5 pts

Belinda Robertson has a low chance of winning the 2026 Republican primary in New Mexico.

Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.95% +4.5 pts

Steve Lanier has a low chance of winning the 2026 Republican primary in New Mexico.

Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.05% +4.5 pts

Todd Graham is unlikely to be the Republican nominee for AZ-01.

Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts

Portugal is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote based on current predictions.

Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts

Armenia is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote based on current predictions.

Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5% +4.5 pts

Market indicates low chance of Matt Gress being the Republican nominee for AZ-01.

Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Joseph Chaplik as Republican nominee for AZ-01.

Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts

Derrick Gallego is unlikely to be the Republican nominee for AZ-01.

Will John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.9% +4.5 pts

John Trobough is unlikely to be the Republican nominee for AZ-01.

Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Paul Reevs as the Republican nominee for AZ-01.

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