Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Trump be impeached before Jan 20th 2029

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 55.16% -9 pts

Market indicates a 64.16% chance of Trump being impeached before January 2029.

Will President Trump put "boots on the ground" in Iran before July 4, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51.31% -9 pts

Market shows a higher probability for Trump deploying troops in Iran by July 2026.

Will Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 57.23% -9 pts

Market suggests a high probability of Trump attacking Cuba before his term ends.

Will Democrats win Tx-28?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 65% -9 pts

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Trump build an American Iron Dome?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 66% -9 pts

Market indicates a strong belief that Trump will build an American Iron Dome.

Will a Millennial become president of the United States?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 77.31% -9 pts

High probability suggests a Millennial may become U.S. president soon.

Will Shahid Butt be elected councillor for Sparkhill in the May 7 local elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 59.98% -9 pts

Shahid Butt has a 68.98% chance of being elected councillor for Sparkhill.

Will UDF win in the coming Kerala state assembly elections of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 61.61% -9 pts

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Joe Biden live to see the end of the US-Iran war?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 74.22% -9 pts

Market indicates high confidence Joe Biden will live through the US-Iran war.

If Khamenei or Epstein faked their deaths, will Trump do a backflip, XOR will Putin not release a sex tape, by 2100?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 77.83% -9 pts

High probability for a YES outcome in a complex political scenario.

Will Zohran Mamdani make an endorsement in any non New York race before Election Day?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 53.71% -9 pts

Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 55/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Switzerland vote to allow usage of nuclear energy again?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 56% -9 pts

Switzerland has a 65% chance of voting to allow nuclear energy again.

Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 58.71% -9 pts

Market favors Democrats winning over 230 House seats in 2026 midterms.

Will Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 74.22% -9 pts

High probability for Bardella to be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Zack Polanski be leader of the Green Party after the next leadership election?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 62.48% -9 pts

Zack Polanski has a strong chance of leading the Green Party after the next election.

Will Donald J. Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 54% -9 pts

Market shows a 63% chance of Trump being impeached by Jan 20, 2029.

Will Trump visit France during his term?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 77.02% -9 pts

High probability suggests Trump is likely to visit France during his term.

Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 74.65% -9 pts

Market indicates a high probability of Trump winning the Nobel Piss Prize in 2026.

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 75% -9 pts

There is a high probability that Trump will speak with Rutte in March.

Will United Russia get more seats in the next Russian Duma election than the one in 2021?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 55.81% -9 pts

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 52.13% -9 pts

Democrats have a 61.13% chance to sweep core Senate races, but confidence is low.

Will Kristi Noem win the South Dakota Republican primary for Senate in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18.82% +8 pts

Kristi Noem has a low chance of winning the 2026 South Dakota Republican primary.

Will Harris English win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.6% +8 pts

Harris English has a low chance of winning the 2026 Houston Open according to current predictions.

Will there be a UK General Election in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 17% +8 pts

The market indicates a low probability of a UK General Election in 2026.

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