Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Vladimir Peña win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $36K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Vladimir Peña is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1.3%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Doug Burgum leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
6.55%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $757K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10% +4.5 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors that no one will leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $71K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.8% +4.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Lee Zeldin leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1.75%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 17.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
Click Bishop has a low probability of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $32K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Adam Crum losing the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $397K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.8% +4.5 pts
60/100
Edna DeVries has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
4.8%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $397K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Shelley Hughes has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
8.15%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $397K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Treg Taylor has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
5.7%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Lisa Murkowski has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
2.85%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $397K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.2% +4.5 pts
60/100
Mary Peltola has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
4.05%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $397K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.95% +4.5 pts
60/100
David Bronson has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Taoiseach events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Trump mentioning 'Greenland' at Taoiseach events.
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2.15%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $113K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Zema finishing outside the top two in 2026 election.
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5.9%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $953K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Renan Santos to finish second in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election.
Will Trump say "Filibuster" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.4% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Filibuster' at the NRCC Dinner.
Will Trump say "SNAP" or "Food Stamp" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.95% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'SNAP' or 'Food Stamp' at the dinner.
Will AOC run for senate in 2028?
52.22%
Market YES
48%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47.72% -4.5 pts
45/100
AOC's potential Senate run in 2028 is highly contested with close probabilities.
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $31K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Israel' or 'Israeli' at the NRCC Dinner.
Netanyahu out by April 30?
2.35%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 46% -4.5 pts
60/100
Market shows a near-equal chance of Netanyahu being out by April 30.
Will Trump say "Daddy" during Taoiseach events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.2% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market suggests Trump is unlikely to say 'Daddy' during Taoiseach events.
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Taoiseach events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $21K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low likelihood of Trump saying 'Epic Fury' at Taoiseach events.
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
5.5%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
James Parkin has a low chance of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1.3%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.9% +4.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Scott Bessent leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
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