Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Vladimir Peña win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $36K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Vladimir Peña is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.
Will Miguel Cadima win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $20K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Miguel Cadima is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
64.25%
Market YES
36%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $273K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 15% +4.5 pts
60/100
Juan Pablo Velasco has a low chance of winning the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.
Will Guido Eduardo Nayar win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $48K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Nayar in the 2026 election.
Will Julio César Tórrez win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Julio César Tórrez is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.
Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $21K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Chi Hyun Chung has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.
Will Mauricio Quezada win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $19K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Mauricio Quezada is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.
Will Juan Carlos Medrano win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Juan Carlos Medrano has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.65% +4.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $209K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Xavier Iturralde's chances of winning the 2026 La Paz mayoral election are very low.
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.6% +4.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates low likelihood of Chris Wright leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 22)
60%
Market YES
40%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 50.5% -4.5 pts
55/100
Market shows a close probability for Trump saying 'Democrat Shutdown' this week.
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1.1%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.75% +4.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Susie Wiles leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)
59%
Market YES
41%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 55% -4.5 pts
55/100
Market favors Trump saying 'Nancy' or 'Pelosi' this week with a 59.5% probability.
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
15.55%
Market YES
84%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $727K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.95% +4.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Tulsi Gabbard leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
0.95%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.25% +4.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for Loeffler leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1.2%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.85% +4.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for Pam Bondi leaving the Trump Cabinet before 2027.
Will trump ever receive any federal pardon in his lifetime?
57.95%
Market YES
42%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 53.45% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market shows a slight favor for Trump receiving a federal pardon in his lifetime.
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 8.50% and 9.00%?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.15% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors NO for Talarico winning by 8.50% to 9.00%.
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5.50% and 6.00%?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $20K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.35% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors NO for Talarico winning by 5.50% to 6.00%.
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 10.00% or more?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $144K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Talarico losing by 10% or more in the primary.
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 9.50% and 10.00%?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $144K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors NO for Talarico winning by 9.50% to 10.00%.
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 9.00% and 9.50%?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Talarico to win by 9.00%-9.50% margin in the primary.
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.50% and 7.00%?
0.6%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $15K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.1% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors NO for Talarico winning by 6.50% to 7.00%.
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