Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 12.4% +4.5 pts

Flávio Bolsonaro has a low chance of winning the first round by 5–10%.

Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13.35% +4.5 pts

Renan Santos has low odds of winning the first round of the election.

Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.9% +4.5 pts

Low probability for another candidate winning Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round.

Will Guillaume Scali be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.25% +4.5 pts

Guillaume Scali has a low chance of becoming Toulouse's next mayor in 2026.

Will Donald Trump visit Montana in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 51.5% -4.5 pts

Market shows a slight favor for Trump visiting Montana in 2026.

Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 15% +4.5 pts

Market indicates low probability for Republicans holding 195-199 House seats in 2026.

Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.85% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Fujimori and Nieto to advance in the runoff.

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Wolfgang Grozo advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.2% +4.5 pts

Low probability for López Aliaga and Grozo to advance to the runoff.

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.5% +4.5 pts

Low probability for López Aliaga and Sánchez to advance to runoff.

Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49.5% -4.5 pts

Market shows a slight lean towards Trump visiting South Dakota in 2026.

Will Alfonso López Chau and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.65% +4.5 pts

Low probability for López Chau and Palomino to advance to the runoff.

Will Alfonso López Chau and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.8% +4.5 pts

The market shows a low probability for López Chau and Nieto to advance.

Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11% +4.5 pts

Low probability for López Chau and Fujimori to advance to the runoff.

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.45% +4.5 pts

Low probability for López Aliaga and Nieto to advance to the runoff.

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Alfonso López Chau advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 12% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Rafael López Aliaga and Alfonso López Chau to advance to the runoff.

Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in March?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.4% +4.5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Trump speaking to Pezeshkian in March.

Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

Matt Sahr has a low chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary.

Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49% -4.5 pts

Market sentiment is evenly split on Trump's potential visit to Mississippi in 2026.

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.9% +4.5 pts

Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior has a low chance of winning the first round of the 2026 election.

Trump visits China by end of March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 54.3% -4.5 pts

Market shows a slight favor for Trump visiting China by March 31.

Will Lambert Meilhac be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.35% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Lambert Meilhac to become the next mayor of Toulouse.

Will Julian Menendez be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.15% +4.5 pts

Julian Menendez is unlikely to win the 2026 Toulouse mayoral election.

Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts

Dana Nessel is unlikely to win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.65% +4.5 pts

Market indicates low confidence in Flávio Bolsonaro winning by 10% in 2026.

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