Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.05% +4.5 pts

Market strongly favors 'NO' for Michelle Bowman's confirmation as Fed Chair.

Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.15% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Rachel Reeves as next UK Prime Minister in 2026.

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +4.5 pts

Marisol Pérez Tello has a low probability of winning the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts

Jordan Wood is highly unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine.

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.85% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors that Trump and Putin will not meet in China.

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors a DHS shutdown lasting beyond April 8, 2026.

Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.95% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors the NO outcome for Democrats winning the most seats in 2026.

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.65% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors that Trump and Putin will not meet in Belarus.

French election called by June 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10% +4.5 pts

The market indicates a low probability of a French election being called by June 30, 2026.

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.55% +4.5 pts

Yair Golan has a low probability of becoming the next Prime Minister of Israel.

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors a DHS shutdown extension beyond April 1-4, 2026.

Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.15% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors a DHS shutdown lasting beyond April 1, 2026.

Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.05% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors the Republican Party not holding 230 or more House seats in 2026.

Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.35% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors the Republican Party not holding 220-224 House seats in 2026.

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 12.15% +4.5 pts

Tom Steyer has a low chance of winning the 2026 California Governor Election.

Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.3% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors the Republican Party not holding 215-219 House seats in 2026.

Will Donald Trump visit Illinois in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 46% -4.5 pts

Trump's visit to Illinois in 2026 is highly uncertain, with a near even split in probabilities.

Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.85% +4.5 pts

Low probability for Republicans holding 225-229 House seats in 2026 elections.

Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.95% +4.5 pts

Morten Messerschmidt is unlikely to be the next Danish prime minister post-2026 elections.

Will Inger Støjberg be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts

Inger Støjberg is highly unlikely to be Denmark's next prime minister post-2026 elections.

Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 13% +4.5 pts

The market strongly favors the Republican Party holding fewer than 200 House seats.

Will Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.7% +4.5 pts

Philip Funderburg has a low chance of winning the 2026 Ohio Republican primary.

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.65% +4.5 pts

Kamala Harris is unlikely to win the California Governor Election in 2026.

Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.8% +4.5 pts

Elaine Culotti has a low chance of winning the 2026 California Governor Election.

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