Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Trump say "Chicken" during National Agriculture Day events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low likelihood of Trump saying 'Chicken' during National Agriculture Day events.
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during National Agriculture Day events?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors NO on Trump saying 'China' 5+ times at events.
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Kang Hoon-sik has a low probability of winning the 2026 gubernatorial election.
Will Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Sung Il-jong has a low chance of winning the 2026 gubernatorial election.
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $31K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12% +4.5 pts
60/100
Fidesz-KDNP is unlikely to win the national list vote by 0-3% in 2026.
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.85% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low probability for Yoaz Hendel as next Prime Minister of Israel.
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $48K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.55% +4.5 pts
60/100
Jared Golden is unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine.
Donald Trump's 'Patriot Games' Actually Happen in 2026?
54.44%
Market YES
46%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.94% -4.5 pts
55/100
The market shows a slight lean towards Trump’s 'Patriot Games' happening in 2026.
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $256K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.75% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market shows a low probability for Moshe Feiglin as the next Prime Minister of Israel.
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.25% +4.5 pts
60/100
Yoon Sang-hyun is unlikely to win the 2026 election, per market odds.
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0.5%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $65K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.1% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates a low probability for Ayelet Shaked as the next Prime Minister.
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
3.6%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $265K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.45% +4.5 pts
60/100
Low market probability for Kim Tae-heum to win the 2026 election.
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $31K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.3% +4.5 pts
60/100
The LDPR is unlikely to win the most seats in the upcoming election.
Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $76K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.8% +4.5 pts
60/100
Roy Barreras is unlikely to win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1.2%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $110K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.1% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors 'NO' for Ben Gvir as the next Prime Minister of Israel.
If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
54.05%
Market YES
46%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.55% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market sees a slight edge for Trump winning if eligible and runs.
Will Trump say "Fertilizer" during National Agriculture Day events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Fertilizer' at events.
Will Trump say "Insane" during National Agriculture Day events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.5% +4.5 pts
60/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Insane' during events, with low AI probability of occurrence.
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
0.75%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $34K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.6% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors 'NO' for New People winning the most seats.
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
57%
Market YES
43%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $68K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 52.5% -4.5 pts
45/100
Market shows a close probability for Trump invoking the Insurrection Act in a second term.
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1.6%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $108K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +4.5 pts
60/100
Yariv Levin is unlikely to become the next Prime Minister of Israel.
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
55%
Market YES
45%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 51.57% -4.5 pts
55/100
There is a close probability of a German State PM being elected with AfD support in 2026.
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $129K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.45% +4.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that A Just Russia will not win the most seats.
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Kentucky visit?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
YES AI: 95.7% -4 pts
65/100
High probability that Trump will say 'Epic Fury' during his Kentucky visit.
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