Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Wisconsin US House District Three General Election - Will Derek Van Orden be reelected?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 25.03% +3.5 pts

Derek Van Orden has a low chance of reelection at 21.53%.

Will labour top a national/GB poll for the next UK election by the end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49.22% +3.5 pts

Labour's chances in the next UK election are closely contested, with a slight edge for NO.

Will the IRS refer major Democratic donors for criminal prosecution by EoY 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 31.1% +3.5 pts

Market leans towards no criminal referrals by the IRS for major Democratic donors by 2026.

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 60% before his death?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 39.36% +3.5 pts

Market suggests Trump's favorability will likely remain above 60% among Republicans.

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 50% before his death?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.34% +3.5 pts

Market suggests low likelihood of Trump's favorability dropping below 50% among Republicans.

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 40% before his death?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 26.21% +3.5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Trump's favorability dropping below 40% among Republicans.

Will there a 3rd party candidate win at least one state in the US presidential election before the US adds a 51st state

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28.5% +3.5 pts

Market favors 'NO' for a 3rd party candidate winning a state before a 51st state is added.

Trump says "God bless China" before the end of his second term

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.5% +3.5 pts

Market favors 'NO' on Trump saying 'God bless China' before term ends.

Credible evidence Trump lied about talks with Iran?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 45.5% +3.5 pts

Market shows mixed confidence on Trump's alleged Iran talks deception.

Christian Democrats in finnish government formed after next Finnish Parliamentary Elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 48.75% +3.5 pts

Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will Trump visit China before US-Iran ceasefire?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28.17% +3.5 pts

Market favors no Trump visit to China before a US-Iran ceasefire.

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14% +3.5 pts

Low probability for Trump to post 120-139 Truth Social posts in the specified week.

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.25% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 140 Truth Social posts next week.

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.75% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 160 Truth Social posts next week.

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 180 Truth Social posts.

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.6% +3.5 pts

Market strongly favors Trump posting fewer than 200 Truth Social posts next March.

Will the party that wins the 2024 USA election win in 2028?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 45.5% +3.5 pts

The market shows a close divide on whether the 2024 election winner will also win in 2028.

Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29.5% +3.5 pts

The market indicates a low probability for a Spanish general election before 2027.

Will Trump's approval rating drop below 35% (538/RCP average) at any point in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 36.3% +3.5 pts

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 33.52% +3.5 pts

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 70% by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors 'NO' for Republican odds over 70% by March 31.

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 90% by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.8% +3.5 pts

The market strongly favors 'NO' for Republican odds over 90% by March 31.

Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas: Both Teams to Score

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 40.15% +3.5 pts

The market favors 'No' for both teams scoring, with a 63.35% probability.

Spread: Llaneros FC (-1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 53.5% +3.5 pts

Market shows equal probability for both outcomes, indicating uncertainty.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119