Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas: O/U 1.5
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 36.95% +3.5 pts
55/100
Market favors fewer than 1.5 goals in the match between Llaneros FC and Once Caldas.
Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas: O/U 3.5
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 31.5% +3.5 pts
55/100
Market favors fewer than 3.5 goals in the Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas match.
Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032?
25%
Market YES
75%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.5% +3.5 pts
45/100
Gavin Newsom has a low probability of becoming president by 2032.
Will Gavin Newsom be the next Democrat to become President of the United States?
25%
Market YES
75%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.5% +3.5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 survive the Trump administration?
40.59%
Market YES
59%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44.09% +3.5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US be transferred to the Trump presidential library (or similar) by 2029?
47%
Market YES
53%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 50.5% +3.5 pts
45/100
Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 45/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will the Libertarian Party candidate for President receive >1.5% popular vote in the 2028 US Election?
27.64%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 31.14% +3.5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
46.94%
Market YES
53%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 50.44% +3.5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
29.49%
Market YES
71%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 32.99% +3.5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?
35.24%
Market YES
65%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38.74% +3.5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Republicans win at least one of ME/MN/NC Senate seats in 2026?
31.92%
Market YES
68%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 35.42% +3.5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will a US president be removed from office early for any reason through 2029?
22.48%
Market YES
78%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 25.98% +3.5 pts
40/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will Trump ever serve time in prison due to his actions?
33%
Market YES
67%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 36.5% +3.5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.
Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
85/100
David Belliard has a very low chance of winning the Paris mayor election.
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $22.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts
80/100
Jasmine Crockett has a low chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
16.5%
Market YES
84%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $23.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.5% +3 pts
95/100
The market indicates a low probability of the Iranian regime falling by June 30.
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $66.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3% +3 pts
90/100
The market predicts no ceasefire between the US and Iran by March 15.
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $42.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.45% +3 pts
80/100
LeBron James is unlikely to win the 2028 Presidential Election according to market data.
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.55% +3 pts
80/100
Market indicates low probability of Kim Kardashian winning the 2028 Presidential Election.
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $21.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts
80/100
Elise Stefanik has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts
80/100
John Thune has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
6.5%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.5% +3 pts
95/100
The market indicates a low probability of the Iranian regime falling by April 30.
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $33M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.55% +3 pts
80/100
Mike Pence is unlikely to win the 2028 Republican nomination based on current market data.
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1.85%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +3 pts
85/100
Judy Shelton is unlikely to be confirmed as Fed Chair based on current market probabilities.
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