Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.25% +3 pts
90/100
Low probability of the US declaring war on Iran by March 2026.
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2.25%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.25% +3 pts
80/100
Jon Stewart is unlikely to win the 2028 Democratic nomination, with low market support.
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $715K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.7% +3 pts
75/100
Market shows low probability for Masoud Pezeshkian as next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $506K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
80/100
Low probability for Khatami as next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.75%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.2% +3 pts
85/100
Bolsonaro has a low probability of winning the 2026 election.
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.65%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.75% +3 pts
80/100
The market indicates a low probability of Trump winning the 2028 Republican nomination.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3.65%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.9% +3 pts
75/100
Pete Buttigieg has low odds of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1.5%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.95% +3 pts
80/100
James Talarico is highly unlikely to win the 2028 US Presidential Election.
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3% +3 pts
85/100
Market overwhelmingly predicts Trump will not announce end of military operations against Iran.
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3 pts
80/100
Wes Moore has a low chance of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.25%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.05% +3 pts
75/100
Ivanka Trump has a very low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $643K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.1% +3 pts
75/100
Low probability for Mohsen Araki as next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1.05%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.05% +3 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors Stephen A. Smith not winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2.05%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $555K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.75% +3 pts
75/100
The market indicates a low probability of Charlie Kirk winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026.
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.95%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $7.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.05% +3 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors Jamie Dimon not winning the 2028 election.
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $27.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Raimondo's nomination.
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $31.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts
80/100
Hunter Biden is highly unlikely to win the 2028 Democratic nomination.
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4.25%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.35% +3 pts
75/100
Kamala Harris has a low chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.
Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $449K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Mohsen Qomi will not be the next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.35% +3 pts
85/100
Sarah Knafo has a low chance of winning the Paris mayor election.
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.3% +3 pts
75/100
Low probability for a US strike on Cuba by March 31, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $467K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Low market probability suggests Modarresi Yazdi is unlikely to become Supreme Leader.
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2.75%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.75% +3 pts
75/100
Ron DeSantis has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16.8%
Market YES
83%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 20.1% +3 pts
75/100
Gavin Newsom has a low probability of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.
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