Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Maryam Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $327K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Low probability for Maryam Rajavi becoming Iran's Supreme Leader.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7.95%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.1% +3 pts
80/100
Ocasio-Cortez has low odds for the 2028 Democratic nomination at 8.10%.
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $28.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts
80/100
Stephen Smith has a low chance of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2.35%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.25% +3 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Trump's 2028 election bid.
Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $258K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3% +3 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Navid Shomali will not be the next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.9%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.35% +3 pts
80/100
Tarcisio de Freitas is unlikely to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17.65%
Market YES
82%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 20.45% +3 pts
80/100
JD Vance has a low probability of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
90/100
The market shows a strong belief that Klára Dobrev will not be the next Prime Minister of Hungary.
Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $247K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3% +3 pts
85/100
Market overwhelmingly predicts Saeed Jalili will not be the next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $448K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts
75/100
The AfD is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 elections.
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1.7%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $339K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.45% +3 pts
75/100
Low probability for Julian Assange to win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.2%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.95% +3 pts
80/100
Tulsi Gabbard is highly unlikely to win the 2028 Republican nomination.
Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $309K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Low market probability for Ghazanfari Khansari as Iran's next Supreme Leader.
2026 Balance of Power: Other
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $736K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.75% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the 2026 Balance of Power: Other.
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $985K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Germán Vargas Lleras has a low chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $403K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Ahmad Vahidi will not be the next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $287K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.9% +3 pts
65/100
Cazeneuve's chances of winning the 2027 election are currently very low.
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2.45%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.55% +3 pts
75/100
Josh Shapiro has a low probability of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.25% +3 pts
85/100
Eduardo Bolsonaro has a low chance of winning the 2026 Brazilian presidential election.
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $703K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.5% +3 pts
75/100
Roy Barreras has a low chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.1%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.1% +3 pts
80/100
Ted Cruz has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.
Trump out as President before 2027?
16%
Market YES
84%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.5% +3 pts
85/100
Market shows low probability of Trump leaving office before 2027.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
2.75%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11% +3 pts
75/100
The market shows a low probability for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026.
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1.55%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $407K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3 pts
75/100
Market strongly favors Erdoğan not winning the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
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