Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Park Hong-keun has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.45% +3 pts

The market strongly favors that Gagan Kumar Thapa will not be the next Prime Minister of Nepal.

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.95% +3 pts

Tucker Carlson has a low probability of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.

Will Pushpa Kamal Dahal (“Prachanda”) be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.35% +3 pts

The market strongly favors that Prachanda will not be the next Prime Minister of Nepal.

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5% +3 pts

Hollande has a low chance of winning the 2027 presidential election.

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.95% +3 pts

Tucker Carlson has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11.35% +3 pts

The market strongly favors that Trump will not acquire Greenland before 2027.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.75% +3 pts

Pete Buttigieg has a low chance of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election.

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.3% +3 pts

Ro Khanna has a low chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.75% +3 pts

The market indicates a low probability for Greta Thunberg winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026.

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.95% +3 pts

Nikki Haley's chances for the 2028 nomination are currently very low.

Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

Market strongly indicates Seyed Hossein Mousavian will not be the next Supreme Leader of Iran.

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.55% +3 pts

Claudia López has a low chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

Low probability for Ghalibaf as next Supreme Leader of Iran.

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.45% +3 pts

Youngkin's chances for the nomination are currently very low according to market data.

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.6% +3 pts

Sébastien Lecornu has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

Vicky Dávila is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6% +3 pts

Sarah Knafo has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

Market indicates no chance of Hassan Shariatmadari becoming Iran's Supreme Leader.

Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.2% +3 pts

The market strongly favors a NO vote for the Climate fund initiative in Switzerland.

Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.3% +3 pts

Sophia Chikirou has a low chance of winning the Paris mayor election.

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.4% +3 pts

Dominique de Villepin has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.65% +3 pts

DeSantis has a low chance of winning the 2028 election according to market data.

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.3% +3 pts

The market strongly favors NO for CD winning the most Senate seats in 2026.

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