Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
2.35%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $438K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.35% +3 pts
75/100
Low probability of Zelenskyy leaving office by March 2026.
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.25% +3 pts
75/100
Scott Bessent is unlikely to be confirmed as Fed Chair based on current market data.
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.75%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $448K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.45% +3 pts
65/100
Jean Castex has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $839K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3 pts
65/100
Low probability for Fabien Roussel to win the 2027 French presidential election.
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.65%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $15.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +3 pts
75/100
Josh Hawley has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4.55%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $502K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.6% +3 pts
75/100
Low market probability for Pope Leo XIV winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026.
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $484K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.4% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors a NO on Waller's confirmation as Fed Chair.
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.9%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $499K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.55% +3 pts
75/100
Market strongly favors NO for Putin winning the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
16.5%
Market YES
84%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.5% +3 pts
85/100
The market shows low probability for the US acquiring part of Greenland in 2026.
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
2.65%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $288K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.05% +3 pts
75/100
Market indicates low probability of Trump cutting off trade with Spain.
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $498K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
85/100
Juan Manuel Galán is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
2.15%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $838K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.75% +3 pts
65/100
Gabriel Attal has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3.65%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.05% +3 pts
80/100
Market shows low probability for UNRWA winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026.
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
85/100
Gustavo Bolívar has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7.5%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.5% +3 pts
85/100
Market shows low probability for Trump winning the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
0.5%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $585K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.25% +3 pts
75/100
Rick Reider's confirmation as Fed Chair is highly unlikely according to market data.
Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $180K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Mohammad Yasrebi will not be the next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Luis Gilberto Murillo is unlikely to win the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors Peñalosa losing the 2026 election.
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
85/100
Mauricio Cardenas has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $380K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
80/100
David Luna Sánchez has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1.05%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.05% +3 pts
80/100
Dwayne Johnson has a low chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
0.55%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $109K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
65/100
Rabi Lamichhane has a low chance of becoming Nepal's next Prime Minister.
Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $165K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.25% +3 pts
65/100
Low probability for KP Sharma Oli to become Nepal's next Prime Minister.
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