Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $27K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.45% +3 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors the UML not winning the second-most seats in the election.
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
0.75%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $745K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.35% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors a NO on Jerome Powell's confirmation as Fed Chair.
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4.15%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $519K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.7% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors the International Court of Justice not winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $862K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.2% +3 pts
75/100
Na Kyung-won has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
70/100
The market strongly favors NO for CR winning the most seats in 2026.
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
4.4%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $778K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.4% +3 pts
75/100
Low probability for Putin leaving office by June 30, with market favoring his continuation.
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
12.5%
Market YES
88%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13.5% +3 pts
85/100
Market shows low probability of Putin leaving office by 2026.
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1.8%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $573K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.2% +3 pts
75/100
Low market probability suggests skepticism about Mohammed bin Salman's Nobel Peace Prize chances.
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $591K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Cho Kuk is highly unlikely to win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1.75%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $243K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.25% +3 pts
75/100
The KPRF is unlikely to gain the most seats in the upcoming election.
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0.75%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $41.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.05% +3 pts
85/100
The market indicates a low probability of a US-Iran ceasefire by March 31.
Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $291K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Reza Pirzadeh is highly unlikely to become the next Supreme Leader of Iran.
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3.55%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $367K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 10.8% +3 pts
75/100
The market shows low probability for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026.
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15.5%
Market YES
85%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 18.5% +3 pts
85/100
The market indicates a low probability of Republican control in the House post-2026 elections.
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
2.65%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $985K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.65% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the Trump-Denmark Greenland deal by March 31.
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Park Yong-jin has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0.6%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $688K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.6% +3 pts
75/100
Market strongly favors NO for Trump leading Venezuela by 2026.
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
3.45%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $884K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.1% +3 pts
65/100
Bruno Retailleau has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
14.5%
Market YES
86%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $877K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 19.5% +3 pts
75/100
The market indicates a low probability for a Republican-controlled Senate and House in 2026.
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
10.5%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $559K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13.5% +3 pts
75/100
The market indicates a low probability of Trump being impeached by 2026.
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
5.6%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $517K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.6% +3 pts
65/100
The market shows a low probability of the Israeli parliament being dissolved by March 31.
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
2.65%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $665K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.2% +3 pts
65/100
David Lisnard has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $484K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.5% +3 pts
80/100
Market shows low probability for Trump to pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by 2026.
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
65/100
Clementine Autain has a very low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
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