Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.5% +3 pts

The market indicates a low probability of the US declaring war on Iran by 2026.

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.3% +3 pts

Xavier Bertrand has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.5% +3 pts

Low probability of Rupert Lowe becoming Prime Minister in 2026.

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.1% +3 pts

Darmanin has a low chance of winning the 2027 election, per market data.

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.05% +3 pts

Low probability of Raphaël Glucksmann winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.35% +3 pts

The market strongly favors the PPP losing the 2026 local elections.

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.2% +3 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Modi winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026.

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4% +3 pts

Juan Branco has a low probability of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 12.5% +3 pts

Jean-Luc Mélenchon has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

François Bayrou has a very low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.7% +3 pts

Low market probability for Netanyahu winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026.

Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Seo Young-kyo has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Carole Delga has a very low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

The market strongly favors NO for SPD winning the most seats in 2026.

Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.6% +3 pts

The market strongly favors that Venezuela will not hold elections by March 31, 2026.

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Civic Platform is unlikely to gain the most seats in the next election.

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.35% +3 pts

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Wauquiez in the 2027 election.

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Olivier Faure has a very low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

The Nepali Congress is unlikely to win the most seats in the election.

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Élisabeth Borne has a very low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.8% +3 pts

Ruffin has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.1% +3 pts

Market indicates low probability of Trump creating a tariff dividend by March 31.

Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

Thierry Mariani is highly unlikely to win the Paris mayor election.

Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.45% +3 pts

Marine Tondelier has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

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